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Title: Ron Paul would best Obama in Iowa general election matchup
Source: The Washington Post
URL Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs ... 012/02/18/gIQABoeUMR_blog.html
Published: Feb 18, 2012
Author: Felicia Sonmez
Post Date: 2012-02-19 10:07:43 by We The People
Keywords: None
Views: 1741
Comments: 5

A new Des Moines Register poll shows Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) would best President Obama in the Hawkeye State if the general election were held today.

In the Iowa Poll, which surveyed 611 likely Iowa voters over Feb. 12-15 and had a margin of error of 4 percentage points, Paul would take 49 percent to Obama’s 42 percent.

He is the only one of the GOP White House hopefuls who would defeat Obama in Iowa if the election were held today, according to the survey.

Former senator Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) would be in a dead heat with Obama, taking 48 percent to Obama’s 44 percent, as would former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney (R), who would take 46 percent to 44 percent for Obama. Both candidates are within the margin of error in a potential matchup with Obama.

The poll shows Obama with a wide lead over former House speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.). Obama would take 51 percent to Gingrich’s 37 percent in Iowa if the election were held today.

Iowa will be a key swing state in the November general election. Obama bested Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) by 10 points in the state four years ago, taking 54 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

But the Iowa Poll suggests that Obama faces a tough task in the fall; the president’s approval rating is underwater in the Hawkeye State, where 46 percent of Iowa adults approve of the job he is doing, while 48 percent disapprove.

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Obama trails three of four Republican candidates in latest Iowa Poll

President Barack Obama trails three of the four Republican candidates in head-to-head match-ups if the election were held today, according to a new Iowa Poll.

The Republican with the biggest lead: Ron Paul, who would defeat Obama by 7 percentage points, 49 percent to 42 percent. Rick Santorum, winner of the 2012 Iowa caucuses, leads Obama 48 percent to 44 percent. Mitt Romney, edged in the caucuses by Santorum, leads Obama 46 percent to 44 percent.

The president defeats only Newt Gingrich, 51 percent to 37 percent. Iowa is considered a swing state in the general election, critical to Obama’s re-election or victory by the Republican nominee.

Iowa Democrats made Obama the winner of the 2008 Iowa caucuses, launching him on his road to the White House. In the general election, he defeated Republican nominee John McCain in Iowa by nearly 10 percentage points.

But Obama is in trouble in Iowa today, hampered by negative perceptions of the job he is doing as president. More Iowans disapprove (48 percent) than approve (46 percent). That’s just one percentage point above his all-time low in job approval, 45 percent in September 2010.

Additional poll results and analysis will be published in the Des Moines Sunday Register and at DesMoinesRegister.com.

The Iowa Poll is a Register exclusive since 1943. The new poll was conducted Feb. 12-15 by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines. It surveyed 800 Iowa adults, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Election questions were asked of 611 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points.

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