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Title: Unemployment Drops to 8.3%; Payrolls in U.S. Jump 243,000
Source: Bloomberg
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012- ... oyment-rate-drops-to-8-3-.html
Published: Feb 3, 2012
Author: By Bob Willis
Post Date: 2012-02-03 09:13:12 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 2540
Comments: 3

Employment climbed more than forecast in January and the U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell to the lowest in three years, casting doubt on whether the Federal Reserve can wait until 2014 before raising interest rates.

The 243,000 increase in payrolls was the most since April and exceeded all forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey, Labor Department figures showed in Washington. The unemployment rate dropped to 8.3 percent, the lowest since February 2009.

The jump in hiring shows companies are gaining confidence the expansion will weather Europe’s slump and may boost President Barack Obama’s re-election bid. The data come one week after Fed policy makers said the economy wasn’t growing fast enough to push down the jobless rate, prompting them to extend a pledge to keep interest rates low for another two years.

“Employers are stepping up new hires that had been postponed due to the uncertainty posed by recession fears in Europe,” Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said before the report. “The Fed is probably not going to stay on hold as long as they think.”

The contract on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in March rose 0.9 percent to 1,334.7 at 8:35 a.m. in New York. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed to 1.90 percent from 1.82 percent late yesterday.

The median projection in the Bloomberg survey called for a rise of 140,000 payrolls after an initially reported 200,000 gain in December. Estimates of the 89 economists ranged from increases of 95,000 to 225,000. Revisions added a total of 60,000 jobs to payrolls in November and December. The Labor Department revised December’s gain to 203,000.

Broad-Based Gains

The jump in employment was broad-based, including manufacturing, construction, temporary help agencies, accounting firms, restaurants and retailers. The number of industries showing job gains climbed to 64.1 in January from 62.4 a month earlier.

Factory workers put in an average 41.9 hours of work each week, the most since January 1998, while overtime hours climbed to the highest since March 2007. Manufacturing payrolls increased by 50,000 in January, the most in a year.

The unemployment rate, derived from a separate survey of households, was forecast to hold at 8.5 percent, according to the survey median. The drop in the jobless rate reflected a 381,000 decrease in unemployment at the same time 250,000 Americans entered the labor force.

Private Payrolls

Private payrolls, which exclude government agencies, rose 257,000 in January after a revised gain of 220,000 the prior month, marking the biggest back-to-back gain since March-April. It was projected to climb by 160,000.

Peoria, Illinois-based Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), the world’s biggest maker of earthmoving equipment, plans to increase employment this year as it expands facilities, including in Victoria, Texas, and Winston-Salem, North Carolina, Chief Financial Officer Edward Rapp said yesterday.

“Those are the things that will lead to employment growth here,” Rapp said in an interview with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.”

Employment at service-providers increased 162,000, the most in four months and reflecting faster job gains in retail, transportation and leisure and hospitality.

Tibco Software Inc. (TIBX) plans to hire 500 people in the U.S. this year as the economy improves and Europe works out its debt crisis, Vivek Ranadive, chief executive officer of the Palo Alto, California-based company said in an interview.

Hiring ‘Rapidly’

“We are hiring quite rapidly now, all in sales and service,” Ranadive said last week at the World Economic Forum’s annual conference in Davos, Switzerland. “It’s a good time to hire.”

Construction companies added 21,000 workers last month. Government payrolls decreased by 14,000 in January, reflecting cuts at the federal and local levels.

Average hourly earnings rose 0.2 percent to $23.29, today’s report showed. The average work week for all workers held at 34.5 hours.

The so-called underemployment rate -- which includes part- time workers who’d prefer a full-time position and people who want work but have given up looking -- decreased to 15.1 percent from 15.2 percent.

The Fed said on Jan. 25 after a two-day meeting that it would keep its benchmark lending rate low “at least” until late 2014 from a prior target of mid-2013.

Bernanke on Employment

“We still have a long way to go before the labor market can be said to be operating normally,” Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told the House Budget Committee in Washington yesterday. “Fortunately, over the past few months, indicators of spending, production and job-market activity have shown some signs of improvement.”

With today’s jobs report, the government issued its annual benchmark update, aligning the data with corporate tax records covering the period from April 2010 to March 2011. The Labor Department added 165,000 to the job count over the period.

The report also included methodology changes to the household survey, incorporating new population data from the decennial census, according to the Labor Department.

It also included changes to the figures used to adjust the data for seasonal swings affecting numbers back to January 2007. Subscribe to *Obamanomics On Parade*

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

Sometimes it really makes me wonder why there are so many obvious truths and trends in our economy and society that I, a mere lonely blogger literally sitting on the couch in my basement, am able to see that the politicos, mainstream media and our so-called business "leaders" are unable to see. I guess it's because I have deliberately positioned myself as a outsider, and thus really could not give a shit less how things turn out for the various charlatans, frauds and hucksters who completely dominate those segments of our society these days.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-02-03   9:23:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: All (#1)

Look forward to hearing ZERO about this from USSAtv:

January's labor participation rate dropped another 0.3 percentage point and is now standing at 63.7 percent, the lowest level since May 1983....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-02-03   9:24:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: All (#2)

* Security Type:Index

BALTIC DRY INDEX Add to Portfolio BDIY:IND 651.00 11.00 1.66%

As of 02/02/2012 on 02/02/2012. All times are ET. Market data is delayed by at least 15 minutes.

With this we pass the Jan 09 collapse Low.

Global Trade has come to a shuddering halt.

No wonder DoD Panetta says the World's Mightiest Military won't be able to stop Israel from overflying our positions and starting WWIII.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-02-03   9:31:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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