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Title: The Verboten Story of Argentina’s Post-Default Economic Success
Source: EconoMonitor
URL Source: http://www.economonitor.com/blog/20 ... post-default-economic-success/
Published: Oct 23, 2011
Author: Yves Smith
Post Date: 2011-11-02 10:32:18 by lucysmom
Keywords: None
Views: 4101
Comments: 12

Ever notice nothing is ever said in the mainstream media about Argentina’s economy, save that it had a big default? You’d never know the following about Argentina:

From 2002 onward, Argentina has grown nearly twice as fast as Brazil, and has sported one of the highest growth rates in the world.

Its success is not dependent on a commodities boom.

It has increased social spending from 10.3% of GDP to 14.2% of GDP.

Inequality has fallen. Poverty and extreme poverty have fallen by roughly 2/3.

What is particularly striking is how quickly Argentina’s economy rebounded after its default. From a paper by Mark Weisbrot, Rebecca Ray, Juan A. Montecino, and Sara Kozameh (hat tip reader Thomas Ross):

In December of 2001, the government defaulted on its debt, and a few weeks later it abandoned the currency peg to the dollar. The default and devaluation contributed to a severe financial crisis and a sharp economic contraction, with GDP shrinking by about 5 percent in the first quarter of 2002 and nearly 11% for the full year. However, recovery began after that one quarter of contraction, and continued until the world economic slowdown and recession of 2008-2009. The economy then rebounded, and the IMF now projects growth of 8 percent for 2011.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 9.

#1. To: Not Badeye, A K A Stone, Fred Mertz, Godwinson, go65, war, no gnu taxes, Skip Intro, ferret mike, jwpegler, mininggold, brian s, mcgowanjm (#0)

...the default freed the country from having to be continually hamstrung by a crippling debt burden and by pro-cyclical policies imposed by creditors. It is these types of policies, along with the ultra-conservatism of central banks like the present ECB, that mostly account for the historical experience of delayed recoveries after financial crises.

lucysmom  posted on  2011-11-02   10:39:22 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: lucysmom (#1)

the ultra-conservatism of central banks like the present ECB

I think that's an oxymoron.

Thu, 11/03/2011 - 08:50 | Link to Comment SWRichmond SWRichmond's picture

The Event Horizon would have been if he was allowed to stay and give the Greeks their democratic rights.

+1. The current rumor is that the former head of the Greek central bank will be taking over as president. No kidding.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-11-03   10:38:49 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: All (#8)

And MFGlobal anin't over and here comes Jefferies....

Never heard of 'em?

You will....;}

Jefferies Re-Releases Statement Tyler Durden's picture Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/03/2011 10:19 -0400

Jefferies, which two days ago denied, denied, denied, has been forced to release another statement, 48 short hours later. As usual, the excuse used is the "Net exposure" is just $38 million compared to gross of $2.7 billion, a generic claim which was summarily debunked in our previous post.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-11-03   10:40:31 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 9.

#10. To: All (#9)

I'm seeing NET and GROSS being conflated all over the place.

They're going insane.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-11-03 10:41:35 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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