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Corrupt Government Title: Solargate Update: Will Scandal Drive Obama Off the 2012 Ticket? (See also: Solving the Democrats' Obama Problem) President Obama will not run in 2012. That prediction seems reasonable in light of the following: Every time Obama speaks, he shows himself as more out of touch with the country, its people, and their needs. He is an obvious embarrassment to many. He has alienated independents and even some liberals. He now appears to have adopted a strategy to appeal to the most radical in his party. Either he is trying to avoid a shut-out in the coming election by locking up some small number of votes or he is delusional. Seasoned Democrats are dumbfounded by his performance, seeming to believe the delusional possibility. Radicals have already rejected him and threaten to run a candidate in the primaries. Despite everything above, Obama intends to run in 2012. None of this fazes the Narcissist-In-Chief. He needs the spotlight like most of us need oxygen. The "messiah," or the self-proclaimed "One," does not see these problems. If he does, they are mere details, trivialities, nothing that cannot be silver-tongued away. The reality is that Obama is spent. His false magic is no longer. He has become a cartoon figure to many Americans and more foreigners. Familiarity has produced contempt. He is a fraud, a man who never was anything other than a carefully scripted and wonderfully executed marketing campaign. The product, however, doesn't work. Marketing made the first sale, but success is repeated only if the product performs. Snake oil is never purchased a second time. Instead of the brilliant problem-solving uniter much of the nation believed they were buying, they got an incompetent, small, and not likeable mountebank. Mr. Obama lives in his own world, surrounded by sycophants. They undoubtedly know his run is over and that he no longer fools most of the people. Yet they are afraid to tell him. We are witnessing a modern-day political tragedy, not unlike the one that occurred with Richard Nixon. Obama sees none of this. It probably has never entered his mind that he is a failure or will not run. His supporters, namely the Democrat Party and the mainstream media, will intervene. Their survival and credibility demands it. There will come a "meeting with Nixon" moment. If that fails, and it is very likely, Obama will be destroyed by one or both of these two groups. Interests of the Democratic Party The political environment is horrible for Democrats. Obama's policies, ineptitude, and unpopularity are responsible for much of this. Many elected Democrats are afraid for their political careers. Obama is increasingly seen as an albatross in the coming election. Previously unthinkable election "upsets" have occurred -- the loss of the "Kennedy Seat" in Massachusetts was the first. The 2010 election was a rout. Subsequent special elections affirmed that the trend continues. Jonah Goldberg commented on the most recent result: the seat that once belonged to Geraldine Ferraro, Chuck Schumer, and Anthony Weiner went to Republican Bob Turner -- the first time it has gone Republican since 1923. The idea of Obama resigning for the good of the party has been raised. Steve Chapman of the Chicago Tribune said: About a year ago I predicted political cannibalism: We are about to witness politics at its ugliest. It will be Republicans against Democrats of course. But that will be less intriguing than the Democrats against Obama. Political survival trumps loyalty. If Obama is as ineffectual as I believe he will be, he will be devoured by angry Democrats anxious to avenge the political deaths of their comrades. We have reached this point. Democrats have the motive to get rid of Obama, but do they have the means? The Solyndra Affair Solyndra, the "green energy" failure, is an example of how Obama could be leveraged out of office. Chicago-style politics suggests that there may be other "Solyndras" in the closet. Reuters described Solyndra as follows: Even after getting the loan, Solyndra spent $187,000 on lobbying efforts, according to Bloomberg, including trying to get the White House to push government agencies to install its panels on the rooftops of federal buildings and extend "buy American" rules that favor U.S. companies. Instead of revenue-seeking, Solyndra was "rent-seeking," which means trying to make money by manipulating government. Andrew C. McCarthy described Solyndra as criminal fraud: The magnitude of the Solyndra loss needs investigation. The mood of the country demands it. Taxpayers are furious about Washington wasting their money and indebting their children. This company represents one half-billion wasted, under questionable circumstances. How many other similar "deals" might be heading for the same fate? Political chicanery of this magnitude and in these times will not be ignored. The FBI jumped in early. According to Politico other investigations are underway: It is likely that Solyndra contains enough incriminating information for Congress to force Obama from office (see Zerohedge, especially the slide show). Potentially there are other Solyndras out there. Congressional Investigations Congressional investigations are typically held for little more than Washington tourists. When a president is suspected of extreme stupidity or a crime, it is conventional for his party to do everything possible to thwart the investigation. Bill Clinton was an example of that. Democrats would like to rid themselves of Albatross Obama. Under normal circumstances it might not be possible without risking the alienation of key constituencies. A criminal investigation, however, provides the opportunity for modern-day regicide. The Solyndra investigation(s) will be different, because congressional Democrats view their situation as worse if they protect the man than if he is dumped. So Solyndra or a counterpart will be a bipartisan investigative effort. Democrats might have incentives to be even more aggressive in pursuit of the truth than Republicans. None of this will be... Click for Full Text!
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#1. To: Happy Quanzaa (#0)
I doubt it will...but I think its going to kill any remaining hope of his being reelected. The bottom line isn't polls, or even these growing scandals that dooms Owe-bama. Its the economy. You can't spin it and win it, given unemployment is over 9%. Thats 'game over' for any POTUS, doesn't matter which party.
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