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Title: Rick Perry is Right: Social Security Really is a Ponzi Scheme
Source: Dissenting Opinions
URL Source: http://jwpegler.blogspot.com/2011/0 ... -is-right-social-security.html
Published: Sep 10, 2011
Author: Eric Blankenburg
Post Date: 2011-09-10 21:05:00 by jwpegler
Keywords: None
Views: 114709
Comments: 228

Rick Perry's comments during this week's GOP debate at the Reagan library has caused quite a stir in the liberal media.

During the debate, Governor Perry defended the words in his book, calling Social Security a "Ponzi scheme".

After the debate, the "analysis" on MSNBC was truly fun to watch as every commentator sat shelled shocked over the fact that a politician would dare to use these words to describe America's most sacred welfare program.

The only person on the panel who had a clue about what might be going on was Ed Schultz who at one point questioned whether or not whether young people would stick with Obama or jump on the Perry bandwagon.

Unlike the political and media establishment in this country, young people understand that they are going to get the short end of the Social Security "inter-generational compact". Schultz surprisingly realized that Perry's message might resonant with young people.

Let's take a quick look at the Social Security system and see if Perry might be on to something.

The people who got into the Social Security system very early got back on average 15 times the amount of money they paid in. They got a great deal and were raving proponents of the system.

The people receiving Social Security benefits today are getting back on average 2 1/2 to 3 times what they paid in. They are also generally strong proponents of the system.

Today, Social Security is paying out more every year than it takes it. We are borrowing money from the foreigners, like the Chinese and Saudis to pay current benefits. As the huge Baby Boom generation retires, the amount of debt we incur each year will quickly escalate until it blows up in our face and old people without resources really do wind up in the street.

So, what happens when my generation starts to retire in 15 to 20 years and what will happen to my kids?

We will all be left holding the bag.

There is a financial MODEL that describes this. The model is called a Pyramid scheme or Ponzi scheme or a Bernie Madoff scheme. The people who get it in early make out like bandits and the people who get it late get screwed.

That is exactly how the Social Security system will play out.

The fact is that the Social Security is a pay-as-you­-go welfare system that transfers money from young, struggling families to relatively well-to-do retired people. There isn't any "trust fund". The words "trust fund" are used to describe a mountain of debt. A mountain of debt is NOT a trust fund. It's a mountain of debt. Today, the mountain of debt in the Social Security system is so great that it cannot be paid.

Peel away the emotion, the Orwellian language about the "trust fund", and the other political rhetoric, and just look at the financial facts. Then this all becomes very clear.

Rick Perry is absolutely right and I am actually impressed that a politician would tell the truth about this. It's truly amazing.

The big question is what can be done?

Long term, people need to be able to save for their own retirements. Social Security needs to be taken back to it's roots as a program that supplements the income of retirees who are truly poor, through no fault of their own.

Today, 25% of people over 65 have pension or investment income that places them in the "wealthy" category. They still get Social Security benefits, so long as they don't work for their income. Why should young struggling families hand money over the wealthy retired people?

They shouldn't. Means testing Social Security will go a long way to make it solvent for the future.

When Social Security was implemente­d, the retirement age was 65. The average life expectancy was 59 for men and 61 for women. Most people didn't live long enough to get a check. Today, the retirement age is still 65. However, life expectancy is 73 for men and 78 for women.

The math just doesn't work.

We need to gradually raise the retirement age to keep up with life expectancy.

Bravo to Perry for telling it like it is. I certainly agree with Ed Schultz that a lot of young people will find this message appealing.

The other group who should find this message appealing are wealthy retirees who are stealing from their children's and grandchildren's future. Will they finally put their selfishness aside and say: "no more"? Probably not, but we'll see.

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#170. To: lucysmom (#165)

"Your position is more akin to exposing a new-born baby to the elements."

Since when did Stonie ever care about any human life after birth?

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   21:13:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#171. To: A K A Stone (#164)

So you can't say that it is 3 taxpayers for social security recipient. Because all of the money they put in came origianlly from someone with a "real" job.

Stone, if government workers pay the tax then they are taxpayers by definition.

If you don't get that or can't be honest enough to admit that then that is your problem and not mine.

Good try , Stone but no cigar.

"...all of the equations in neoclassical economics are rubbish. The differential equations describe nothing. Economics is not about mathematics, it is about the human being." Sandeep Jaitly

lucysmom  posted on  2011-09-14   21:14:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#172. To: Ferret Mike (#170)

So you are claiming I don't care about people? Mike you are stupid if you believe that. Really stupid. Your rhetoric is separated from reality.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:15:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#173. To: lucysmom (#171)

You're not being honest with yourself.

This isn't about if the government workers are necessary or not.

They don't add anything to the pie that isn't already there. So your number is inflated. I don't think you will get it. Your bran doesn't work correctly. You are infected with a mental disorder called liberalism. If you want I will try to heal you. I know you will probably resist it. But I think deep down that is why you are here, you know because you question your irrational thoughts.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:18:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#174. To: Capitalist Eric, NewsJunky, jwpegler, lucysmom, A K A Stone (#155) (Edited)

Social Security Online - Ratio of Covered Workers to Beneficiaries - 1940-2085

- - -

Social Security 2011, Facts and Figures

nolu chan  posted on  2011-09-14   21:18:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#175. To: A K A Stone (#169) (Edited)

Examples of wrongful convictions: Arizona: Ray Krone, released in 2002 • Spent 10 years in prison in Arizona, including time on death row, for a murder he did not commit. He was the 100th person to be released from death row since 1973. DNA testing proved his innocence.

Illinois: Madison Hobley, Aaron Patterson, Stanley Howard and LeRoy Orange, pardoned in 2003 • Sent to death row on the basis of "confessions" extracted through the use of torture by former Chicago Police Commander Jon Burge and other Area 2 police officers in Chicago. They were pardoned by outgoing Governor George Ryan, who also commuted the remaining 167 death sentences in Illinois to life imprisonment.

North Carolina: Jonathon Hoffman, exonerated in 2007 • Convicted and sentenced to death for the 1995 murder of a jewelry store owner. During Hoffman's first trial, the state's key witness, Johnell Porter, made undisclosed deals with the prosecutors for testifying against his cousin. Porter has since recanted his testimony, stating that he lied in order to get back at his cousin for stealing money from him.

http://www.amnestyusa.org/our-work/issues/death-penalty/us-death-penalty- facts/death-penalty-and-innocence

Our system of justice which is predicated on the notion that one is innocent until proven guilty beyond a resonable doubt is compromised by a cruel and unusual punishment that cannot be reversed should an innocent woman or man be executed and then be revealed to actually have been innocent of the crime they were convicted of.

Murderers are always going to get away with their crime now and again unless we had a 'you have to break an egg to make an omlette' apprach that postulates it is preferable to kill some innocents least one guilty person escape justice.

I see no rationality to your point.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   21:23:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#176. To: Ferret Mike (#175)

Our system of justice which is predicated on the notin that one is innocent until proven guilty beyond a resonable doubt compromised by a cruel and unusual punishment that cannot be reversed should an innocent woman or man be executed and then be revealed to actually have been innocent.

So Obama should be impeached for practicing cruel and unusual punishment against babies without a court order. Screw that asshole. Now go report me to the Obamunist snitch line. Tell him I said to fuck off.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:24:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#177. To: nolu chan (#174)

Your chart is pretty discouraging.

Does it include government workers in those numbers? If it does then wouldn't you say that the actual number is quite lower as they add nothing new to the pie?

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:30:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#178. To: A K A Stone (#176)

Roe v. Wade is the law of the land. You can't impeach a POTUS elected in 2008 for a SCOTUS decision made in 1972. You do not make a rational point.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   21:31:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#179. To: Ferret Mike (#178)

Roe v. Wade is the law of the land.

It is color of law you pretend pro lifer. You're pro abortion. That is why every president that you have ever voted for in your entire life is pro abortion. You're not fulling anyone.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:32:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#180. To: A K A Stone (#179) (Edited)

Richard Nixon appointed Harry Blackmun who wrote the Roe V. Wade decision. So, using your emotion trumping rational thinking modus of argument, no Republican deserves to be elected to the White House after this man wrote it and voted for it.

As for my view on abortion, I have consistently made it clear for a great many years what it is, and your froth at the mouth claim I am actually for abortion might give you a feeling as warm as a pee in the swiming pool, but that does not mean it has any veracity.

You have no standing as my agent to represent my political view points.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   21:41:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#181. To: Ferret Mike (#180)

As for my view on abortion, I have consistently made it clear for a great many years what it is,

The proof is you voted for a man who is the most pro abortion in our history.

That is like saying you love Jews and posting at freedom4um and voting for Hitler.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   21:43:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#182. To: A K A Stone (#181) (Edited)

I do like Jewish people. I just have no use for Zionism.

As for your hyperbolic claim that President Obama would scare the crap out of Darth Vader because he is so evil, save it for the election.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   21:50:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#183. To: Ferret Mike, A K A Stone, *Liberal Rehab Staff* (#178)

Roe v. Wade is the law of the land

A president is under no obligation to enforce supreme court decisions. President Andrew Jackson famously told the supreme court to stuff it.


President Andrew Jackson, who had the executive responsibility of enforcement of the laws, stated, "John Marshall has made his decision; let him enforce it now if he can."


"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Obama's watch stopped on 24 May 2008, but he's been too busy smoking crack to notice.

Hondo68  posted on  2011-09-14   21:59:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#184. To: hondo68 (#183) (Edited)

And it is a shame Jackson had not been appropiately sanctioned with empeachment for this concern to support this unconstitutional action.

The interment of Japanese Americans in the emotional hysteria at the start of WW II was also a retracted error that was quite unconstitutional.

All this proves is the system has human failings to it. So?

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   22:04:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#185. To: nolu chan (#144)

Social only needs to be modified to account for the change in demographics.

http://www.ssa.gov/history/ponzi.htm The Logic of Pay-As-You-Go Systems

In contrast to a Ponzi scheme, dependent upon an unsustainable progression, a common financial arrangement is the so-called "pay-as-you-go" system. Some private pension systems, as well as Social Security, have used this design. A pay-as-you-go system can be visualized as a pipeline, with money from current contributors coming in the front end and money to current beneficiaries paid out the back end.

There is a superficial analogy between pyramid or Ponzi schemes and pay-as-you- go programs in that in both money from later participants goes to pay the benefits of earlier participants. But that is where the similarity ends.

So we could image that at any given time there might be, say, 40 million people receiving benefits at the back end of the pipeline; and as long as we had 40 million people paying taxes in the front end of the pipe, the program could be sustained forever. It does not require a doubling of participants every time a payment is made to a current beneficiary, or a geometric increase in the number of participants. (There does not have to be precisely the same number of workers and beneficiaries at a given time--there just needs to be a fairly stable relationship between the two.) As long as the amount of money coming in the front end of the pipe maintains a rough balance with the money paid out, the system can continue forever. There is no unsustainable progression driving the mechanism of a pay-as-you-go pension system and so it is not a pyramid or Ponzi scheme.

In this context, it would be most accurate to describe Social Security as a transfer payment--transferring income from the generation of workers to the generation of retirees--with the promise that when current workers retire, there will be another generation of workers behind them who will be the source of their Social Security retirement payments. So you could say that Social Security is a transfer payment, but it is not a pyramid scheme. There is a huge difference between the two, and only a superficial similarity.

If the demographics of the population were stable, then a pay-as-you-go system would not have demographically-driven financing ups and downs and no thoughtful person would be tempted to compare it to a Ponzi arrangement. However, since population demographics tend to rise and fall, the balance in pay-as-you-go systems tends to rise and fall as well. During periods when more new participants are entering the system than are receiving benefits there tends to be a surplus in funding (as in the early years of Social Security). During periods when beneficiaries are growing faster than new entrants (as will happen when the baby boomers retire), there tends to be a deficit. This vulnerability to demographic ups and downs is one of the problems with pay-as-you-go financing. But this problem has nothing to do with Ponzi schemes, or any other fraudulent form of financing, it is simply the nature of pay-as-you-go systems.

NewsJunky  posted on  2011-09-14   22:17:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#186. To: A K A Stone (#173)

Your bran doesn't work correctly.

My bowls are fine, thank you, I don't require bran.

"...all of the equations in neoclassical economics are rubbish. The differential equations describe nothing. Economics is not about mathematics, it is about the human being." Sandeep Jaitly

lucysmom  posted on  2011-09-14   22:20:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#187. To: A K A Stone (#173)

ROTFLOL

"...all of the equations in neoclassical economics are rubbish. The differential equations describe nothing. Economics is not about mathematics, it is about the human being." Sandeep Jaitly

lucysmom  posted on  2011-09-14   22:27:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#188. To: Ferret Mike, A K A Stone (#184)

the system has human failings

It's a presidents duty to ignore the human failings of the supreme court and uphold the constitution and rule of law, as they swore in their oath of office.

Jackson upheld his oath of office. FDR did not because he was a statist progressive communist, like Lincoln, Woodrow Wilson, Clinton, Bush(x2), and Obama. The whole later bunch went along with SCOTUS rulings that violated the constitution. It's been a very long time since we had a law abiding president.


"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Obama's watch stopped on 24 May 2008, but he's been too busy smoking crack to notice.

Hondo68  posted on  2011-09-14   22:34:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#189. To: hondo68 (#188) (Edited)

Jackson ignored his duty to enforce a High Court decision is very clear in our system of government. The U.S. Constitution has three branches of government sharing power to create checks and balances in the system.

Jackson did what he did not so much because he was just in ignoring his constitutional duty he swore an oath to preform; he did it because of the greed and racism of those lobbying him to do so.

There was not a thing that was law abiding in his action any more then the graft and greed that those agents contracting to provide food and medicine to Native Americans forced onto small reservations were guilty of was right or legal. This application of Apartheid that was an inspiration for concentration camps in South Africa during the Boer War in South Africa or those of Nazi Germany in WW II was very unjust as well and this action of Jackson has put blood on his hands for many decades after his presidency.

Manifest Destiny and the Papal Bull called the Doctrine of Discovery that were much the basis of the Trail of Tears was evil and responsible for many deaths and acts of genocide after the Indigenous People of North America were largely rubbed out helped kill many people for generations in other parts of the world.

What Jckson did was predicated on greed and hate and helped empower and create much death and suffering in the world. There was nothing good or just about this violation of his oath of office to uphold the U.S. Constitutuion.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   22:55:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#190. To: Ferret Mike (#189)

Jackson ignored his duty to enforce a High Court decision is very clear in our system of government.

I think you lie. Show me in the constitution where it says the Presidents job is to enforce Supreme court decisions. I read that it is his duty to enforce the constitution.

You're a very feminine fake poser.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   22:59:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#191. To: A K A Stone (#190)

"I think you lie. Show me in the constitution where it says the Presidents job is to enforce Supreme court decisions. I read that it is his duty to enforce the constitution."

I know that should the SCOTUS overturn Roe v. Wade and a future POTUS then sign an executive order authorizing abortion in spite of it, you would be howling bloody murder that he or she has no right to go against this new hypothetical ruling.

Now as for the charge I am feminine, that is an interesting slant of insult. Does this mean you view over half the population of the U.S. as inferior to those of us who are fueled by testaterone instead of estrogen?

I am much amused.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:06:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#192. To: Ferret Mike (#191)

I know that should the SCOTUS overturn Roe v. Wade and a future POTUS then sign an executive order authorizing abortion in spite of it, you would be howling bloody murder that he or she has no right to go against this new hypothetical ruling.

A proper ruling would simply acknowledge the error that the evil court made and correct it. They are people and citizens.

You are not pro life. You vote for anti life politicians that give kids no choice. Democrats are anti kid. They hate kids. Can't stand the idea of them being born.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:13:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#193. To: Ferret Mike (#191)

Now as for the charge I am feminine, that is an interesting slant of insult. Does this mean you view over half the population of the U.S. as inferior to those of us who are fueled by testaterone instead of estrogen?

If you are female if is good to be feminine.

If you are male you come across as some kind of faggot freak.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:13:58 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#194. To: A K A Stone (#192) (Edited)

"A proper ruling would simply acknowledge the error that the evil court made and correct it. They are people and citizens."

This view would help give you a flunking grade in any 400 level course on the Supreme Court in the United States in any university of the land.

The rest of your post is merely spiteful and quite irrational. You fail to succeed in the task to bait me. I am merely amused by your antics here.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:18:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#195. To: Ferret Mike (#194)

I am merely amused by your antics here.

You and me bofe.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2011-09-14   23:20:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#196. To: Ferret Mike (#194)

You fail to succeed in the task to bait me.

Bait you? What is this crap about baiting you? Bait you for what? I simply tell it the way it is.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:21:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#197. To: Fred Mertz (#195)

I will readily admit that sometimes I say things to rile you guys up. You never know if I am serious or not.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:21:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#198. To: A K A Stone (#197)

I can push your buttons like a walk in the park, Taliban boy.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2011-09-14   23:23:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#199. To: A K A Stone (#193)

Gee Dr Ruth, thsnks for sharing your master baiting skills. Most gays are very masculine and unless you know them well on the personal level, you would have no clue to their sexual orientation. ;-D

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:24:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#200. To: Ferret Mike, A K A Stone (#175)

Our system of justice which is predicated on the notion that one is innocent until proven guilty beyond a resonable doubt is compromised by....

... the (successful) calls to "level the playing field." First, it is not a sporting event, and second, there is not supposed to be a level playing field. The original idea was that it was better that ten guilty men go free than one innocent man be convicted.

Prosecutors hide evidence and present perjured testimony (testilying) and judges look the other way.

nolu chan  posted on  2011-09-14   23:24:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#201. To: Ferret Mike (#199)

Most gays are very masculine and unless you know them well on the personal level, you would have no clue to their sexual orientation. ;-D

I wouldn't know. Apparently you know very well. By the way it is preference not orientation. To say it is orientation is an insult to God.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:25:56 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#202. To: A K A Stone (#197)

"I will readily admit that sometimes I say things to rile you guys up. You never know if I am serious or not."

Not so; I always take insanity from you with a grain of salt.

So you don't relish having veracity when you post. That is your problem, not ours.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:26:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#203. To: nolu chan (#200)

Prosecutors hide evidence and present perjured testimony (testilying) and judges look the other way.

I've seen that first hand. That is why I don't like pigs or judges.

Are you a lawyer or just a knowledgeable layman? Or maybe you used to be one?

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:27:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#204. To: A K A Stone (#177)

Does it include government workers in those numbers? If it does then wouldn't you say that the actual number is quite lower as they add nothing new to the pie?

Government workers are included. They pay into SS and receive benefits just as non-government workers do.

The charts from SS show there is a real problem. Regardless of what we call it or who we blame, there is a problem that needs fixing.

nolu chan  posted on  2011-09-14   23:28:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#205. To: nolu chan (#200)

"Prosecutors hide evidence and present perjured testimony (testilying) and judges look the other way."

I agree; and this is a big reason I cannot support Capital Punishment as being moral or just.-

Good post. ;-)

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:29:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#206. To: Ferret Mike (#202)

Mike, I'm happy you showed back up here. I enjoy the banter.

Stoner is an ideologue and a lost sheep at that.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2011-09-14   23:30:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#207. To: nolu chan (#204)

Government workers are included. They pay into SS and receive benefits just as non-government workers do.

I know they do that. My father retired from the government after retiring from the Army.

Anyway. If it says that it takes 3 workers to support 1 social security recipient. Since government workers salary is entirely compromised of tax money. They don't add anything new to the government treasury. So it is actually less then 3 workers paying for each retiree. For if those private sector employees didn't work then the government people wouldnt' have a job in the first place. It is just a more detailed way of looking at it.

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-09-14   23:31:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#208. To: Fred Mertz (#206)

Merci mom ami. Tu es tres gentile. Vraiment. ;-D

Ferret Mike  posted on  2011-09-14   23:32:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#209. To: A K A Stone (#207)

Whatever happened to folks retiring after 35 years (+/-) a few and getting the gold watch and enjoying their twilight years?

Answer me that, Stoner.

The corporate masters want them to work for beans until they're 70.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2011-09-14   23:38:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  



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