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The Water Cooler Title: House Gop Lawmakers Worry Voters' Anger Over Economy Could Sting Them House Republican lawmakers worry the sputtering economy will be a problem not only for President Obama but could sweep them out of office next year as well. Nervous House Republicans have filled their schedules with constituent meetings this month to assuage bubbling frustrations over the economy and gridlock in Washington. Fearing angry protests, some GOP lawmakers have decided to skip public town-hall meetings. Others have mustered courage to face constituents in unpredictable settings, sometimes with uncomfortable results. Ive never seen people as angry as they are right now. Theyre angry at the whole system and evidencing that in their comments to me, said Rep. Timothy Johnson (R-Ill.), who has crisscrossed his district attending chicken dinners and state fairs. Being an incumbent in either chamber in either party is an unpopular brand. Im trying to show people that Im different, that I listen and dont engage in a lot of partisanship, said Johnson, who plans to redouble his efforts as a member of the Congressional Center Aisle Caucus to promote bipartisan cooperation in the fall. On Aug. 16, Gallup announced that Congress had matched its lowest approval rating of all time, falling to the 13 percent mark reached in December, shortly after Republicans captured the House. A few days earlier, Gallup released its first measure of the 2012 congressional elections, showing Democrats ahead of Republicans by seven points on the generic ballot. Given the approval rating of Congress, everyone has to be on their toes, in either party, said Glen Bolger, a leading GOP pollster and founder of Public Opinion Strategies. House Republicans have some explaining to do after last months standoff over raising the debt limit. House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) declared, I got 98 percent of what I wanted in the debt-limit deal. Im pretty happy, he said. But much of the country has not been pleased with the aftermath. Standard & Poors concluded the debate raised serious questions about Congresss ability to address its long-term debt and downgraded the nations credit rating, sending markets into a tailspin. Democrats quickly blamed Republicans for what they called the Tea-Party downgrade. House GOP lawmakers dispute theyre to blame for the downgrade. But GOP freshmen concede they could suffer politically because of widespread sentiment that Washington is not doing enough to fix the economy. I think the economy is going to affect everybody in government, said Rep. Patrick Meehan, a freshman Republican from the outskirts of Philadelphia. Peoples frustrations can be focused at the ballot box. Ive been spending a lot of time working on issues important to local constituencies. You hope you can send a message that you understand their frustration over the big picture, but in the meantime Im working on things that will directly affect jobs, he said. Meehan has spent much of August meeting with employers in his district, such as Siemens, Home Depot and Childrens Hospital of Philadelphia. His constituents have broad concerns about the economy but also specific worries about federal cuts in research and healthcare spending. Childrens Hospital depends on federal funding for its research on improving automobile child safety, for example. This month, Meehan is helping to negotiate a potential airport expansion with two local government authorities, which he hopes will create hundreds of new jobs. The freshman lawmaker says it helps to have a thick skin when confronted by protesters at public events. I used to be a professional hockey ref. Im used to having 15,000 people booing me, he said. Rep. Paul Gosar, a freshman Republican from Arizona, has held town-hall meetings and met with local chambers of commerce. Theyre very angry, he said of his constituents. They want to get back to work and they feel government is in the way with rules and regulations. Gosar says its always a possibility that voters upset over the economy will throw him out of office. Hes making the case that House Republicans have been talking about jobs from day one," citing efforts to roll back regulations and lower deficits. Gosar has pushed his local jobs agenda at home by promoting aggressive development of natural resources in his district, specifically a major copper deposit three miles east of Superior, Ariz. Hes trying to broker a federal land exchange that will open up 2,400 acres to mining. Rep. Rick Berg, a freshman Republican running for Senate in North Dakota, is the rare incumbent running in a state with low unemployment numbers. He said North Dakota lowered its unemployment rate to 3.2 percent by balancing its budget and creating a pro-business environment. But he said it will be hard to change the regulatory environment in Washington while Democrats control the Senate, where House GOP initiatives, such as the "cut, cap and balance" measure, have died. Whenever you have a high unemployment and a struggling economy, it makes elections difficult for any incumbent, Berg said. Having said that, I think this next election is a debate on how we get this economy turned around. He said the election will come down to two competing views: The Keynesian view, held by many Democrats, that government needs to spend more to increase aggregate demand. And the limited-government philosophy, favored by Republicans, which holds that governments should operate as businesses and family households. Rep. Lou Barletta, a freshman Republican from Hazelton, Pa., said jobs and the economy are the top priorities at home. They want to talk about jobs and how were going to get America back to work again. I explained to them as a former entrepreneur that I think America has one of the least friendly business environments in the world, he said of constituents. Barletta makes the case to voters that the House has tried to improve the domestic business environment by passing an ambitious budget-cutting plan and advancing a proposal to implement a balanced-budget amendment. He said only House Republicans have been willing to tackle entitlement programs, which will contribute the most to the debt over the next several decades, and blamed Senate Democrats for refusing to compromise. Im proud to say that in the House were willing and have the courage to tackle these problems. If we pass bills in House and they die in the Senate, the public needs to know that, he said. Blaming the Senate is a popular argument in House districts around the country. Rep. Tom Reed, a freshman Republican from upstate New York, has scheduled six town-hall meetings in his district this month. He tells constituents the House has passed legislation to give businesses more certainty, but the Senate has blocked those initiatives. They dont realize we passed all this and the Senate didnt do anything, he said. They leave the meetings saying theyre going to call their senators. Rep. Steve Chabot (R-Ohio) faced angry protesters at a town-hall meeting in Avondale, Ohio, on Monday. He said Think Progress, the liberal political advocacy group, organized the protest. Chabot says people are frustrated that the economy continues to muddle along and employment continues to be high. But he says most constituents are upset about federal regulations from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration as well as new rules established by the healthcare reform and Wall Street reform legislation passed in 2010. Chabot said Obamas administration has put a drag on the economy. But Chabot also recognizes that he may get blamed as well on Election Day. The main problem has been the policies that this administration have pushed and gotten through over the last couple years, he said. Even so, Chabot says, Im fully aware that when theres frustration, all incumbents can be held somewhat accountable, whether they were responsible are not. People expect results, he said.
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#1. To: Brian S (#0)
The GOP needs to focus on three themes between now and the election. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs. PERIOD. Bohener and McConnell are too stupid to understand this. Obama doesn't get it either. Whether you like him or not, this is where Rick Perry will make a huge difference. His campaign will be about jobs, which is why he has vaulted to the lead in GOP primary. He might be a lying sack of shit, but at least he's lying about the right thing. The rest of the GOP elected officials are just stupid.
Perry is like a Bush Jr. clone. Speech, mannerism, gaffes. Everytime I watch him I swear they could be brothers. The 'morphing' of Perry into Bush jr. images will be a huge hit with the opposition, indeed.
#4. To: Brian S (#2)
Superficially yes, but perhaps not where it counts. Bush is an east cost poser like his dad. He was never a real conservative. He never claimed to be. Bush called himself a "compassionate conservative", i.e. another BIG GOVERNMENT type. Bush and Perry don't even like each other. The Bush refugees on Fox network (especially Karl Rove) have done nothing but trash Perry. I hate Bush, his father, his entire administration, and every single thing that he did (except for his two Supreme Court nominees, which were surprisingly good). The fact that Bush's cronies are trashing Perry by itself makes me think that Perry might be someone I can support. Yes, I'm skeptical of Perry. But I am willing to be convinced. The more the Bush cronies trash Perry, the more I like him.
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