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Title: Why "business needs certainty" is destructive
Source: Salon
URL Source: http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/g ... /business_certainty/index.html
Published: Aug 15, 2011
Author: Yves Smith
Post Date: 2011-08-15 12:15:36 by lucysmom
Keywords: None
Views: 5735
Comments: 13

If you read the business and even the political press, you've doubtless encountered the claim that the economy is a mess because the threat to reregulate in the wake of a global-economy-wrecking financial crisis is creating "uncertainty." That is touted as the reason why corporations are sitting on their hands and not doing much in the way of hiring and investing.

This is propaganda that needs to be laughed out of the room.

I approach this issue as as a business practitioner. I have spent decades advising major financial institutions, private equity and hedge funds, and very wealthy individuals (Forbes 400 level) on enterprises they own. I've run a profit center in a major financial firm and have have also operated a consulting business for over 20 years. So I've had extensive exposure to the dysfunction I am about to describe.

Commerce is all about making decisions and committing resources with the hope of earning profit when the managers cannot know the future. "Uncertainty" is used casually by the media, but when trying to confront the vagaries of what might happen, analysts distinguish risk from "uncertainty", which for them has a very specific meaning.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 6.

#1. To: Badeye, A K A Stone, hondo68, Fred Mertz, Godwinson, go65, war, no gnu taxes, Skip Intro, ferret mike, jwpegler, brian s, mcgowanjm, Capitalist Eric, Mininggold (#0)

The problem is that the "certainty" language reveals what the real game is, which is certainty in top executive pay at the expense of the health of the enterprise, and ultimately, the economy as a whole. Cutting costs is as easy way to produce profits, since the certainty of a good return on your "investment" is high. By contrast, doing what capitalists of legend are supposed to do, find ways to serve customer better by producing better or novel products, is much harder and involves taking real chances and dealing with very real odds of disappointing results.

When "gaming the system" replaces innovation, we are done.

lucysmom  posted on  2011-08-15   12:23:45 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: lucysmom (#1)

When "gaming the system" replaces innovation, we are done.

ZIRP guarantees Depression.

Free $$$ to the Insolvemt to continue making Stupid Idiot decisions...

Something's breaking now....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-16   8:33:10 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: mcgowanjm (#4)

Free $$$ to the Insolvemt to continue making Stupid Idiot decisions...

It's discouraging.

lucysmom  posted on  2011-08-16   11:03:21 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: lucysmom (#5)

It's discouraging.

Just hold on, Lucy.

Little things...

the fact that the USSA MSM doesn't care about how obvious they are in Omitting Any mention of Ron Paul.

They'll have to get violent. Cause they're running out of arguements.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-16   11:08:03 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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