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Economy
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Title: Europe on Brink of 'Major Financial Collapse'
Source: CNBC
URL Source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/43988195
Published: Aug 3, 2011
Author: Gennine Kelly
Post Date: 2011-08-03 10:22:58 by jwpegler
Keywords: None
Views: 9521
Comments: 15

Europe is a "train wreck" and on the "brink of a major financial crisis," Scott Minerd, CIO of the fixed-income firm Guggenheim Partners, told CNBC Tuesday.

"The way Europe is operating right now, it's what I called recently 'cognitive dissonance,'" Minerd said, or "basically doing the same thing thinking they're going to get a different outcome."

"They keep throwing more and more liquidity at it thinking it's going to get better and it's not," he added. Europe fails to recognize that it has a "structural problem, not a liquidity problem."

People will "flee the euro" unless they find a way to bifurcate the euro in some way where strong countries are in the euro only and the weak countries are out, Minerd explained, adding, "To be honest with you, I don't see the mechanism to do that."

"As the capital is flooding out of Europe, which we're starting to see now, the first place it's going to go is to the safe havens—[U.S.] Treasurys, which [the market] perceives to be safe, and it'll chase gold," he added.

Compared to a 2 percent return on Treasury notes, investors will eventually say that "stocks with price-earnings multiples of 12 or 13 or 14 look relatively cheap, and the growth for corporate earnings in the United States is very good, and this is likely to help us," said Minerd.

The United States is "the least dirty shirt in the bag," Minerd concluded. "We have a very good chance of seeing equities up maybe another 10 percent [over the next six months] from where we are."

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 2.

#1. To: All (#0)

Western politicians are in living in a dream world, so they are incapable of making the kinds of structural changes to their welfare states that are needed to fix the problems.

jwpegler  posted on  2011-08-03   10:24:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: jwpegler (#1)

Worse.

West Politicians are in thrall to the Top 50 000.

Any kind of expunging of debt and auction of housing, kills them.

they'll literally be jumping out of windows....

Jump You Fuckers....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-03   10:28:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 2.

#3. To: All (#2)

It's easy to predict what will happen is we do nothing; in a few years, Medicare will exist in name, but there won't be anyone left to provide care for IOUs. That's the ultimate irony: when the whole system implodes, the only thing left will be the VA and cash care: the two systems I am recommending as solutions.

Ch Hughes Smith

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-03 10:29:12 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 2.

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