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LEFT WING LOONS Title: Will the world ever have open borders? My favorite bit in this video comes towards the end, when I ask Charles about the wonderful tweet he sent out last Friday, after the gay marriage bill passed the New York senate. One day well see legal discrimination by *place* of birth as evil as discrim. by other features of birth gender, orientation, color.less than a minute ago via web Favorite Retweet ReplyCharles Kenny charlesjkenny I wanted to know, was this just a lovely sentiment, or does Charles really think this is going to happen? The answer is the latter, and Charles gives two strong reasons why that might be the case. One is the way that the world is getting smaller and more interconnected. Countries make hundreds of agreements with each other, they set up organizations like the UN and the EU, and in general behave much more pleasantly towards each other than they ever have in the past. And at some level that has to be because doing so is what their people want. Charless second point was about mobility and immigration, and its a great one. Greater levels of immigration arent just a fantastic idea from a national-security standpoint and a fiscal standpoint, theyre also demographically necessary for an aging America which has a lot of labor-intensive needs in a service sector which cant be outsourced. The self-interest of people will weaken the effects of borders, says Kenny, which is surely true. Americans dont like immigration, but they love the low prices that immigration brings for their golf courses and swimming pools and McMansions. Theres a long distance between appreciating the upside of immigration, on the one hand, and extolling the idea of completely open global borders, on the other, where everybody has the same right to work in the US, no matter where they were born. Theres many people who would push for the former, and almost nobody who would push for the latter. But as the economic distance between countries shrinks, the problems associated with such a policy will get smaller. And Charles points out too that there will be increasing numbers of Americans who want to live abroad; those Americans would in principle be quite happy to sign bilateral open-border agreements with the countries theyd like to live in. None of this is going to happen in our lifetimes, but if you look at how far the world came over the course of the last century, theres reason for optimism about how much more progress it can make in this one. Countries already go to war with each other much less frequently than they did in the past; the insane cost of war alone is one good reason why that might be. And without wars to make us hate each other, well surely continue to get friendlier towards each other. Sometimes, too, change can happen astonishingly fast. David Schlesinger touched on this in his chat with me yesterday look at the way in which the Chinese government is successfully serving the interests of the Chinese people today, compared with 20 or 30 years ago. The main official obstacle to Chinese people traveling around the US today is not Chinas government, its Americas. And while we fear China in many ways, the spectre of mass Chinese immigration to the US is not one of them to a large degree, America could and should welcome an influx of Chinese entrepreneurialism, which could quite possibly be funded with some of Chinas trillions in foreign exchange reserves. From a US perspective, much better all that investment and job creation happen here than in China. They put something in the water, here in Aspen, which makes people very optimistic. (Although maybe its inactive early in the morning: both Steve Adler and I were unimpressed by the latest demographic analysis purporting to find a centrist, consensus-driven majority in America.) But the world really is getting better, and has been for a couple of centuries now, and its very likely to continue doing so, in its lumpy and unpredictable way. Which means that, sooner or later, theres a good chance that Charless dream will come true. « Previous Post Next Post » Comments 11 comments so far | RSS Comments RSS Jun 30, 2011 8:15 am EDT Europe already has open borders with both the internal borders of the EU and the Schengen agreement making possible easy transit between adjacent EU countries (apart from the paranoid UK). Paranoid America though is a different matter: even when US citizens move to countries other than the US, the Federal Govt still treats them as if they never left. For instance, they continue to have to file US tax returns even though they no longer benefit from any US services and they have to fill in tax returns for the foreign country in which they are newly resident for tax purposes. This apolitical, non-partisan control of citizens was further extended by the Bush Administration and now also extends to how US citizens abroad are allowed to invest their money: practically no foreign bank or fund company will touch US citizens because of the very strict SEC laws governing which companies are allowed to Trade in New York and what their subsidiaries outside the US have to do. If you think Republican Party stands for less control, look at the details first, because from an ordinary citizens point of view, when in power it doesnt do what it says on the tin (nor do the Democrat Party for that matter). But what can you expect when the politicians are in the power of the larger non-institutional shareholders of the big corporations? Land of the Free? Dont make me laugh. Once, maybe, but increasingly not these days. So long as US consumers can get more and more of their drug, consumerism, they dont care whos pushing it, or why, and happily spend the family silver on products that by being made in China take away their own jobs. Trade may be practically unrestricted, but sadly, thats the only border for Americans that ever will be. Posted by FifthDecade | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 9:22 am EDT Nah. USAmericans are happy to take from the global commons, but unwilling to contribute to it. The country keeps high borders because it makes menial labor cheaper. You say the benefit of open borders is that Americans can go abroad to retire. I am abroad, have been for years. Like many American citizens, I dont have the proper visa in my new country, and nobody really cares. I will get a visa easily enough soon. Most of the world already has much more open borders than the USA. That country (and increasingly Canada) is excluding itself from the party. Meanwhile, unsurprisingly, its also the place where you cant find an unlocked mobile phone, or one with a built-in television, or pirate DVDs. The US will awaken from its paranoid self-exclusion around the same time that survivalists decide to give up on the Montana woods. Which is to say, dont hold your breath. Posted by Setty | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 9:53 am EDT Felix, this is too ironic because you are one more segregationist in a city full of them in one of the most rigidly self-segregated places on Earth. http://projects.nytimes.com/census/2010/ explorer What is astonishing about New York is the mind-boggling prices many New Yorkers are willing to pay to achieve segregation for themselves. New York is not really so expensive if New Yorkers were willing to give up their segregation, but that would be unthinkable. I thought New York real estate was a bubble until I understood that they were driven by the powerful and quite stable segregationist urges of New Yorkers. Posted by DanHess | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 10:25 am EDT Okay, the Internet being what it is, I took a peek, and your hood, is actually a pretty evenly tossed salad, almost unique in New York. While the segregationist label does not seem to apply to you at this stage of life, New Yorkers are famous for ferociously forging figurative fences for themselves, especially after having children. Perhaps you will never have children, to avoid risk of catching this unspeakable disease? Posted by DanHess | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 11:15 am EDT The US will open its borders soon. Once we become a third world country from all of our debt, we can open our borders because no one will want to live here! Posted by minipaws | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 11:25 am EDT The native tribes of the Western Hemisphere had their borders forced open hundreds of years ago. I hope they are grateful for the diseases, distilled alcohol, pick-up trucks and diabetes they have gained. Posted by walt9316 | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 11:52 am EDT As FifthDecade noted, at least up to the point where I quit reading, the US would need to make some changes to its tax system; the corporate tax system is discordant with international norms as well. A lot of social welfare harmonization would probably be needed as well. As with businesses going bankrupt, theres a trade-off here between a kind of institutional capital that is impaired by change (any change) and the obvious value to re-optimizing when things change. A large business, even if its insolvent and cant pay its bills for a time, may be worth more intact than in pieces; on the other hand, it may be that its time has passed, and theres certainly something to gain from allowing a better-run (or more up-to-date) entrant to take its place. Similarly, social institutions are of real value, and as you shuffle people from place to place, you lose some of that; this is the excuse for the mortgage interest rate deduction. On the whole, the US has surely benefited from internal mobility more than it has lost, though this may have been facilitated in part by a degree of cultural homogeneity that, while nowhere near absolute, is higher than that between the US and the rest of the world. I suspect that entirely open borders would cost more in social capital than it would gain in allowing aspiring migrants to be more productive, but that the optimum lies at a higher level of legal immigration (and certainly a better considered policy on legal immigration) than the US at least currently uses. Incidentally, I was under the impression that residents of Puerto Rico dont pay federal income taxes, so it seems strange that American residents of foreign countries would. If someone can clear up my confusion, please do. Posted by dWj | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 1:18 pm EDT As long as America still believes in the American Exceptionalism concept they will continue to foster no desire for open borders. The freedom America believes in is the freedom to be left alone! (since when have those on the pulpit practiced what they preach they want to be left alone but leave no one else alone). Posted by CDN_Rebel | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 3:04 pm EDT Is it possible for non-European nations to join the European Union? If not, why not? What if, say, South Korea wanted to be a part of the EU? Posted by jerryku | Report as abusive Jun 30, 2011 3:33 pm EDT The Chinese government discriminates based on where in China you were born. Migration from the rural interior to coastal cities is restricted, and the urbanites like it that way. Posted by TGGP | Report as abusive
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#1. To: A K A Stone, All (#0)
Sure, single digit years. A nuke Meltdown in any country will cause that country's collapse. See US Omaha Ft Calhoun.... and a BTW, what IS IT with Ecocide that folks like you want to avoid at all costs. There will be no evacuation. You will be quarantined in place.
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