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Title: Was 2010 the Warmest Year Ever?
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2011/01/028246.php
Published: Jan 31, 2011
Author: powerlineblog
Post Date: 2011-01-31 12:48:28 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 8145
Comments: 27

It is widely being reported that, based on surface-temperature data from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), 2010 was tied for the warmest year on record. What is not so widely reported is that those surface temperature data have been so shamelessly manipulated by climate alarmists that they are entirely unreliable. For a short course in one of the great scientific scandals of all time, go here.

There are a number of things wrong with the data produced by NOAA and NASA, but one of the most basic involves the urban heat island effect. It it commonly understood that cities are warmer than the surrounding countryside; you see that every day in weather reports. Thus, weather stations located in urban areas, as many of them are, tend to show increasing temperatures as urbanization and changing land use make the immediate area of the weather station warmer. One study indicated that even a tiny village of 1,000 people can warm temperatures by up to 3.8 degrees F.

NOAA and NASA used to acknowledge the urban heat island effect and try to correct for it, but that didn't produce the sort of alarming temperature increases that warmists are looking for. This is how NOAA depicted US temperatures from 1880 to 1999, as posted on NASA's web site in 1999;

James Hansen, the head of NASA's climate unit and one of the worst of the alarmists, said truthfully in 1999:

The U.S. has warmed during the past century, but the warming hardly exceeds year-to-year variability. Indeed, in the U.S. the warmest decade was the 1930s and the warmest year was 1934.

That didn't get the warmists where they were trying to go, so they have now changed the data by eliminating or drastically reducing the urban heat island effect. NASA now shows very different data for the period 1880-1999 from what it published in 1999. This animated GIF shows how the alarmists changed their own data to create the false impression of a climate crisis:

(2 images)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 25.

#5. To: no gnu taxes (#0)

Does Urban Heat Island effect exaggerate global warming trends?

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   17:45:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: go65 (#5)

they have compared the data from remote stations (sites that are nowhere near human activity) to more urban sites.

Problem is that there are no remote stations in the Artic.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   18:03:05 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: no gnu taxes (#7)

Problem is that there are no remote stations in the Artic.

It's spelled "arctic"

and weather stations have been there since 1950.

http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0003751

Do you have any other idiocy you'd like to share in this thread?

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   18:08:14 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: go65 (#8)

and weather stations have been there since 1950.

in populated heat islands.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   18:44:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: no gnu taxes (#9)

in populated heat islands.

I guess you did have more idiocy that you wanted to post. One of the stations is located in Eureka, a small staging area used by those hiking to the North Pole.

Then there's the Resolute Weather Station, located on a now abandoned air base on Cornwallis Island, pop. 229, over its 2,700 square miles.

You know, usually I have to work a bit to expose your complete and utter lack of knowledge of the subjects you post, you are making it easy this time.

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   22:47:41 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: go65 (#10)

One of the stations is located in Eureka, a small staging area used by those hiking to the North Pole.

Then there's the Resolute Weather Station, located on a now abandoned air base on Cornwallis Island, pop. 229, over its 2,700 square miles.

Are you really this stupid? All of the stations are located in areas of human population with associated heat island effects, including the concrete infrared reflections.

Of course, there's no NYC there.

And up until 1999, even Hanson acknowledged such until it was detrimental to his agenda.

Look at how they changed their data.

God, you're fucking dumb.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   22:54:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: no gnu taxes (#12) (Edited)

Are you really this stupid? All of the stations are located in areas of human population with associated heat island effects, including the concrete infrared reflections.

Even the satellites and ocean sensors?


Comparison of global (land & ocean) mean surface temperature reconstructions from NASA GISS, the University of East Anglia's CRU, and NOAA NCDC.

You don't know when to quit, do you?

go65  posted on  2011-02-01   8:50:08 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: go65 (#15)

Scientist says Arctic getting colder

A Russian scientist says the Arctic may be getting colder, not warmer, which would hamper the international race to discover new mineral fields.

An Arctic cold snap that began in 1998 could last for years, freezing the northern marine passage and making it impassable without icebreaking ships, said Oleg Pokrovsky of the Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory.

"I think the development of the shelf will face large problems," Pokrovsky said Thursday at a seminar on research in the Polar regions.

Scientists who believe the climate is warming may have been misled by data from U.S. meteorological stations located in urban areas, where dense microclimates creates higher temperatures, RIA Novosti quoted Pokrovsky as saying.

"Politicians who placed their bets on global warming may lose the pot," Pokrovsky said.

http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2010/04/23/Scientist-says-Arctic-getting-colder/UPI-94431272034113/

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-02-01   9:09:44 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: no gnu taxes (#19) (Edited)

Scientist says Arctic getting colder

he's wrong:

Warm North Atlantic Heating Arctic

http://news.discovery.com/earth/warm-north-atlantic-heating-arctic.html

Repeat of a negative Arctic Oscillation leads to warm Arctic, low sea ice extent

Arctic sea ice extent for December 2010 was the lowest in the satellite record for that month. These low ice conditions are linked to a strong negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation, similar to the situation that dominated the winter of 2009-2010.

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/


Surface temperature anomalies for the period 17 December 2010 to 15 January 2011 show impressive warmth across the Canadian Arctic….

The largest anomalies here exceed 21°C (37.8°F) above average, which are very large values to be sustained for an entire month.

http://www2.ucar.edu/currents/cold-comfort-canadas-record-smashing-mildness

go65  posted on  2011-02-01   10:45:59 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: go65 (#21)

Another Russian Scientist: Arctic Is Cooling

Yet another Russian scientist believes the Arctic is set for cooling and thus increasing sea ice, this reported in the German version of the Russian online news RIA NOVOSTI (see links below). Scientist Vladimir Sokolov says:

The warming that occurred in the Arctic has swung back to cooling and sea ice that melted over the past years is recovering. http://de.rian.ru/science/20100427/126088756.html, The English version is here: http://en.rian.ru/russia/20100427/158771845.html

Arctic sea ice reached a historic minimum in 2007 when it shrank to 4.28 million sq km. But the trend now appears to have reversed. According to the weather observation administration Roshydromet, it has grown by a fifth reaching 5.2 million square km in 2009, Sokolov said at the Petersburg Research Insttitute for the Arctic and Antarctic on Tuesday.

Sokolov calls predictions of continued shrinking Arctic ice “incorrect”.

He says the cooling is due to the polar night and the associated missing sunlight, and this as a result will lead to ice formation. Some scientists are warning that politicians and corporations who promise lucrative oil and gas projects in the Arctic may have made dramatic miscalculations. The researchers say that no warming will take place, instead cooling will impact the earth over the next decades.

http://notrickszone.com/2010/04/28/another-russian-scientist-arctic-is-cooling/

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-02-01   10:49:05 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: no gnu taxes (#22)

Signs of Reversal of Arctic Cooling: Rapid Temperature Rise in the Coldest Region of Mainland Europe

ScienceDaily (July 29, 2010) — Parts of the Arctic have cooled over the past century, but temperatures have been rising steeply since 1990. This is the finding of a summer temperature reconstruction for the past 400 years produced on the base of tree rings from regions beyond the Arctic Circle.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/07/100729101607.htm

go65  posted on  2011-02-01   10:56:08 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: no gnu taxes (#24)

“In 2005, the Academies issued a statement emphasising that climate change was occurring and could be attributed mostly to human activities, and calling for efforts to tackle both the causes of climate change and the inevitable consequences of past and unavoidable future emissions. Since then the IPCC has published the Working Group 1 part of the Summary for Policymakers of its fourth assessment report, and further reports are expected later this year from IPCC. Recent research strongly reinforces our previous conclusions.”

Russian Academy of Sciences

go65  posted on  2011-02-01   10:59:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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