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Title: Was 2010 the Warmest Year Ever?
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2011/01/028246.php
Published: Jan 31, 2011
Author: powerlineblog
Post Date: 2011-01-31 12:48:28 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 8038
Comments: 27

It is widely being reported that, based on surface-temperature data from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), 2010 was tied for the warmest year on record. What is not so widely reported is that those surface temperature data have been so shamelessly manipulated by climate alarmists that they are entirely unreliable. For a short course in one of the great scientific scandals of all time, go here.

There are a number of things wrong with the data produced by NOAA and NASA, but one of the most basic involves the urban heat island effect. It it commonly understood that cities are warmer than the surrounding countryside; you see that every day in weather reports. Thus, weather stations located in urban areas, as many of them are, tend to show increasing temperatures as urbanization and changing land use make the immediate area of the weather station warmer. One study indicated that even a tiny village of 1,000 people can warm temperatures by up to 3.8 degrees F.

NOAA and NASA used to acknowledge the urban heat island effect and try to correct for it, but that didn't produce the sort of alarming temperature increases that warmists are looking for. This is how NOAA depicted US temperatures from 1880 to 1999, as posted on NASA's web site in 1999;

James Hansen, the head of NASA's climate unit and one of the worst of the alarmists, said truthfully in 1999:

The U.S. has warmed during the past century, but the warming hardly exceeds year-to-year variability. Indeed, in the U.S. the warmest decade was the 1930s and the warmest year was 1934.

That didn't get the warmists where they were trying to go, so they have now changed the data by eliminating or drastically reducing the urban heat island effect. NASA now shows very different data for the period 1880-1999 from what it published in 1999. This animated GIF shows how the alarmists changed their own data to create the false impression of a climate crisis:

(2 images)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 14.

#5. To: no gnu taxes (#0)

Does Urban Heat Island effect exaggerate global warming trends?

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   17:45:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: go65 (#5)

they have compared the data from remote stations (sites that are nowhere near human activity) to more urban sites.

Problem is that there are no remote stations in the Artic.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   18:03:05 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: no gnu taxes (#7)

Problem is that there are no remote stations in the Artic.

It's spelled "arctic"

and weather stations have been there since 1950.

http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0003751

Do you have any other idiocy you'd like to share in this thread?

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   18:08:14 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: go65 (#8)

and weather stations have been there since 1950.

in populated heat islands.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   18:44:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: no gnu taxes (#9)

in populated heat islands.

I guess you did have more idiocy that you wanted to post. One of the stations is located in Eureka, a small staging area used by those hiking to the North Pole.

Then there's the Resolute Weather Station, located on a now abandoned air base on Cornwallis Island, pop. 229, over its 2,700 square miles.

You know, usually I have to work a bit to expose your complete and utter lack of knowledge of the subjects you post, you are making it easy this time.

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   22:47:41 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: Godwinson, skip intro, ferretmike, fred mertz, lucysmom, brian s, (#10)

ping to the post above this one - what's the old saying, better to keep your mouth shut and let folks think you are an idiot rather than open it and prove it?

go65  posted on  2011-01-31   22:50:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: go65 (#11)

Homogenizing: Hey, if We Only Have Weather Stations in Urban Heat Islands and None in the Cooler, Higher, Rural Areas, You Know What We'll Do? We'll Just Use Our City Data to "Extrapolate" Into the Colder Rural Areas

This is what's going on with the Russia temperature data, too.

Turns out -- how could this be? I don't blame the warmmongers for it but how did this happen? -- the world has been losing, not gaining, temperature stations for the past 50 years, and most of the lost stations came from higher-latitude and higher-altitude, no-heat-island rural areas, in other words, the best, most pristine gauges of actual temperature, unchanged by the hot sprawl of Man.

And most of the ones that didn't get eliminated were in... cities. Or built up towns and suburbs. And mostly at lower altitudes, too (by sea level -- where most of the human population clusters).

And so what happens when the bulk of your old weather stations get discontinued?

Well, if you're a genius climate researcher, you just fill in these unmeasured expanses with homogenized (I think) type data from the city stations still in use.

Voila! You had no idea of what the temperature was in rural Russia so you guessed it was probably pretty close to the temperature in Moscow, and you filled it thus!

And look! Look at all this global warming and tremble.

http://minx.cc/?blog=86&post=295982

no gnu taxes  posted on  2011-01-31   23:18:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: no gnu taxes (#13)

Give it up.

He's not INTERESTED in facts. He is quite comfortable and happy in whatever delusions he's pushing, reality be damned.

He is of the group that believes that reality is not necessarily objective, but subjective.

That is, if the consensus belief is that the Earth is made of cottage-cheese, then they'll ALL believe that, no matter what facts you bring to the table.

It sounds absurd, I know... But that's the "Interpretivist" mindset, which is quite common in qualitative research... If you google interpretivism, you'll see what I mean.

They believe... whatever they want to believe, and nothing will change them...

Capitalist Eric  posted on  2011-01-31   23:29:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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