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Title: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fall More Than Forecast
Source: Bloomberg
URL Source: http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601010&sid=a.dfvOtvt2.Y
Published: Jan 20, 2011
Author: By Alex Kowalski
Post Date: 2011-01-20 11:30:10 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 1200
Comments: 2

Jan. 20 (Bloomberg) -- The number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment insurance payments fell more than forecast last week, adding to evidence the labor market is healing.

Applications for jobless benefits decreased 37,000 in the week ended Jan. 15, the biggest decline since February 2010, to 404,000, Labor Department figures showed today. Economists forecast 420,000 claims, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. The number of people on unemployment benefit rolls fell, while those getting extended payments rose.

Employers may be retaining workers after the economy showed signs of strengthening at the end of last year. Economic growth may need to accelerate further and encourage companies to ramp up the hiring necessary to reduce an unemployment rate that’s hovering close to a 26-year high.

“New jobless claims have broken to the downside in the last 11 weeks, suggesting that labor markets are finally improving,” Steven Wood, president of Insight Economics LLC in Danville, California, said in an e-mail to clients. “However, there is typically a lot of volatility in the claims data between mid-November and mid-February both because of the various holidays and because of winter weather.”

Stock-index futures pared losses after the report, with the March contract on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index falling less than 0.1 percent to 1,277.7 at 8:51 a.m. in New York. Treasuries fell, pushing up the yield on the 10-year note to 3.39 percent from 3.34 percent late yesterday.

Range of Estimates

Estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 49 economists ranged from 400,000 to 462,000, after an initially reported 445,000 the previous week.

There were no special factors related to the decline, a Labor Department official said today as the figures were released. Last week’s drop followed a combined 50,000 rise in the previous two weeks, a period when claims typically pick up after the Christmas and New Year’s holidays.

The four-week moving average, a less-volatile measure, dropped to 411,750 from 415,750. Today’s figures coincide with the week the Labor Department surveys for its monthly employment report.

“This typically would be viewed as great news, and it very well could translate into big jobs gains for January, but I caution anyone to read too much into this,” said Ellen Zentner, senior macroeconomist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York.

Continuing Claims

The number of people continuing to collect jobless benefits dropped by 26,000 in the week ended Jan. 8 to 3.86 million. Economist forecast the number would increase to 3.99 million.

The continuing claims figure does not include the number of workers receiving extended benefits under federal programs.

Those who’ve used up their traditional benefits and are now collecting emergency and extended payments increased by about 29,000 to 4.68 million in the week ended Jan. 1.

President Barack Obama on Dec. 17 signed into law an $858 billion bill extending for two years tax cuts for all income levels. The measure also continues expanded jobless insurance benefits to the long-term unemployed for 13 months and reduces payroll taxes for workers by two percentage points this year.

The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits, which tends to track the jobless rate, held at 3.1 percent in the week ended Jan. 8, today’s report showed. Forty-three states and territories reported an increase in claims during that week, while 10 had a decrease.

Claims, Payrolls

Initial jobless claims reflect weekly firings and tend to fall as job growth -- measured by the monthly non-farm payrolls report -- accelerates.

The U.S. added 103,000 jobs in December, fewer than economists forecast in a Bloomberg survey, according to Labor Department figures released Jan. 7. Unemployment fell to 9.4 percent from 9.8 percent a month earlier, partly because fewer people were in the labor force.

“The economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring down unemployment,” Fed officials said in a statement after their policy meeting on Dec. 14.

Companies continue to reshape their payrolls. Changan Automobile Co., Ford Motor Co.’s automotive partner in China, will invest $7 million in a Plymouth, Michigan, research-and- development operation, employing as many as 161 workers, a Wayne County, Michigan, spokeswoman said Jan. 18.

American Express Co., the biggest credit-card issuer by purchases, said yesterday it will shut a facility in Greensboro, North Carolina, transferring work to other locations in the U.S. and moving some jobs abroad. The changes will result in the loss of 550 jobs. Subscribe to *Obamanomics On Parade*

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

Jan. 20 (Bloomberg) -- The number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment insurance payments fell more than forecast last week, adding to evidence the labor market is healing.

So the week before would be subtracting from evidence the labor market is healing.

The Bureau of lies and statistics. John Williams Showstats has the #s.

"No Question You'll See Cities Default" yeah, that should get the economy humming. 8D

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-01-20   11:37:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Brian S (#0)

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fall More Than Forecast


The economy is under control!
Prosperity is just around the corner!
A chicken in every pot!
---- Baghdad Brian ----

ME: Thanks for admitting that you ARE trying to spin this (AZ shooting, and terrorism) onto Palin, and conservatives in general.
Brian S(ocialist): I have never hidden that fact...

"There will be no more money when the U.S. dollar has no value, until that time we can keep printing more."--go65, resident "economist"

Capitalist Eric  posted on  2011-01-20   12:47:55 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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