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Opinions/Editorials Title: The War on Logic My wife and I were thinking of going out for an inexpensive dinner tonight. But John Boehner, the speaker of the House, says that no matter how cheap the meal may seem, it will cost thousands of dollars once you take our monthly mortgage payments into account. Wait a minute, you may say. How can our mortgage payments be a cost of going out to eat, when well have to make the same payments even if we stay home? But Mr. Boehner is adamant: our mortgage is part of the cost of our meal, and to say otherwise is just a budget gimmick. O.K., the speaker hasnt actually weighed in on our plans for the evening. But he and his G.O.P. colleagues have lately been making exactly the nonsensical argument Ive just described not about tonights dinner, but about health care reform. And the nonsense wasnt a slip of the tongue; its the official party position, laid out in charts and figures. We are, I believe, witnessing something new in American politics. Last year, looking at claims that we can cut taxes, avoid cuts to any popular program and still balance the budget, I observed that Republicans seemed to have lost interest in the war on terror and shifted focus to the war on arithmetic. But now the G.O.P. has moved on to an even bigger project: the war on logic. So, about that nonsense: this week the House is expected to pass H.R. 2, the Repealing the Job-Killing Health Care Law Act its actual name. But Republicans have a small problem: they claim to care about budget deficits, yet the Congressional Budget Office says that repealing last years health reform would increase the deficit. So what, other than dismissing the nonpartisan budget offices verdict as their opinion as Mr. Boehner has can the G.O.P. do? The answer is contained in an analysis or maybe that should be analysis released by the speakers office, which purports to show that health care reform actually increases the deficit. Why? Thats where the war on logic comes in. First of all, says the analysis, the true cost of reform includes the cost of the doc fix. Whats that? Well, in 1997 Congress enacted a formula to determine Medicare payments to physicians. The formula was, however, flawed; it would lead to payments so low that doctors would stop accepting Medicare patients. Instead of changing the formula, however, Congress has consistently enacted one-year fixes. And Republicans claim that the estimated cost of future fixes, $208 billion over the next 10 years, should be considered a cost of health care reform. But the same spending would still be necessary if we were to undo reform. So the G.O.P. argument here is exactly like claiming that my mortgage payments, which Ill have to make no matter what we do tonight, are a cost of going out for dinner. Theres more like that: the G.O.P. also claims that $115 billion of other health care spending should be charged to health reform, even though the budget office has tried to explain that most of this spending would have taken place even without reform. To be sure, the Republican analysis doesnt rely entirely on spurious attributions of cost it also relies on using three-card monte tricks to make money disappear. Health reform, says the budget office, will increase Social Security revenues and reduce Medicare costs. But the G.O.P. analysis says that these sums dont count, because some people have said that these savings would also extend the life of these programs trust funds, so counting these savings as deficit reduction would be double-counting, because well, actually it doesnt make any sense, but it sounds impressive. So, is the Republican leadership unable to see through childish logical fallacies? No. The key to understanding the G.O.P. analysis of health reform is that the partys leaders are not, in fact, opposed to reform because they believe it will increase the deficit. Nor are they opposed because they seriously believe that it will be job-killing (which it wont be). Theyre against reform because it would cover the uninsured and thats something they just dont want to do. And its not about the money. As I tried to explain in my last column, the modern G.O.P. has been taken over by an ideology in which the suffering of the unfortunate isnt a proper concern of government, and alleviating that suffering at taxpayer expense is immoral, never mind how little it costs. Given that their minds were made up from the beginning, top Republicans werent interested in and didnt need any real policy analysis in fact, theyre basically contemptuous of such analysis, something that shines through in their health care report. All they ever needed or wanted were some numbers and charts to wave at the press, fooling some people into believing that were having some kind of rational discussion. We arent.
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I think Krugman misses the point - the GOP doesn't oppose the ACA because of spending, taxes or deficits - they oppose it simply because they oppose anything Obama favors. They still haven't offered their alternative plan.
So far, nothing the Obama favors bodes well for America, sure sounds like the right thing to do.
Stated as if you were a Chinese living during the Cultural Revolution and it were written in Mao's "Little Red Book".
Then you were not listening well. Again.
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