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United States News Title: Illinois Has Days to Plug $13 Billion Deficit That Took Years to Produce Jan. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Illinois lawmakers will try this week to accomplish in a few days what they have been unable to do in the past two years -- resolve the states worst financial crisis. The legislative session that begins today will take aim at a budget deficit of at least $13 billion, including a backlog of more than $6 billion in unpaid bills and almost $4 billion in missed payments to underfunded state pensions. The fiscal mess is largely of the lawmakers own making, and failure to address the shortages threatens public schools, local governments and other public services, said Dan Hynes, the states outgoing comptroller. Weve reached a very critical and concerning point, Hynes said in an interview in his Chicago office, with packing boxes stacked in the corner. Whats missing right now is a general understanding by the public of where we are, of how bad it is, and what the fallout would be if we dont deal with it properly. What the public may not appreciate, Wall Street does. Illinois shares with California the lowest U.S. state credit rating from Moodys Investors Service, which in September forecast possible further financial deterioration. Unlike California, Moodys assigned Illinois a negative outlook. Illinoiss deficit, about half its $26 billion general-fund budget, puts it among the U.S. states confronting $140 billion in shortfalls in the coming fiscal year after closing $160 billion in gaps this year, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a Washington research group. Debt Costs Rising Hynes, 42, predicted the deficit might rise to $15 billion by midyear, and that prospect has come with a price tag. The cost of insuring Illinois debt against default rose to a five- month high last week as the state headed into this year without a plan to finance a $3.7 billion pension-fund contribution. Insuring $10 million of Illinois debt against default cost $350,000 a year on Dec. 29, more than Californias $298,000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Illinois and Arizona were the weakest states in a Dec. 30 financial-strength index report from the Chicago office of BMO Capital Markets, a financial services company. Lawmakers meeting in Springfield will consider spending cuts, an expansion of casino gambling and a proposal from Democratic Governor Pat Quinn to borrow $15 billion to pay overdue bills and help fill the budget hole. Quinn, 62, also has proposed boosting the state income tax to 4 percent from 3 percent, raising about $3 billion a year. Quinn needs Senate approval of a borrowing plan to make this years payment into the pension funds. Borrowing is what credit analysts, Hynes and bond investors point to as a major reason why Illinois financial standing fell so far so fast. Gross Criticism Bill Gross, who runs the worlds biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, said Illinois was one of the states whose debt he would avoid. Illinois is probably in the worst shape, Gross said in a Dec. 28 interview on CNBC. The widening gap between Illinoiss expenses and revenue drew criticism from Moodys. The disparity underscored the states chronic unwillingness to confront a long-term, structural budget deficit, it said in a Dec. 29 study. The worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and politicians unwillingness to cut budgets explain the descent since 2008, said Tom Johnson, president of the nonpartisan Taxpayers Federation of Illinois. Annual sales and income-tax revenue fell for the first time in modern history, he said. No Appetite The state was hoping for a quick recovery or inflation, and they didnt get it, Johnson said in a telephone interview. And there was no appetite to reduce the escalating costs of spending. The falloff in revenue aggravated the states historic practice of delaying payments to vendors and carrying those costs on from one year to the next. Revenues went south, spending went north, Johnson said. Its unsustainable. The current-year budget deficit of $13 billion is roughly half the size of the states general-fund budget. Borrowing to pay bills continues. In November the state sold $1.5 billion of bonds backed by tobacco settlement payments to help pay vendors. We have seen a lot of the budgetary tools that really dont qualify as real solutions used, whether its short-term borrowing, pension borrowing, delays in payments, the sale of future revenues, Hynes said. Warning Calls Illinois business leaders have warned that the states failure to properly fund pensions means the plans will run out of money to pay promised benefits before the decade ends. Were in the midst of the most severe financial crisis in recent memory, Miles White, chairman of Abbott Park, Illinois- based Abbott Laboratories, said Sept. 27 at a forum on state affairs. The state has been spending $3 for every $2 it takes in, and borrowing to cover its current operating expenses, said White, chairman of the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago. The state had $64 billion of assets to pay estimated liabilities of $126.4 billion as of June, or less than half the amount needed for almost 723,000 workers, retirees and other beneficiaries, according to bond documents. The question facing lawmakers is whether they can reverse the slide into more debt. The gravity of the situation is registering with the General Assembly, said James Nowlan, a former member of the state House and now a senior fellow at the University of Illinois Institute of Government & Public Affairs. I think theyre finally educated that all the one-time adjustments and shenanigans have been pulled, and they are now facing the fiscal abyss, Nowlan said in a telephone interview. But maybe Im too hopeful.
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