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Title: NYT: “Bundle Up, It’s Global Warming”
Source:
blogs.dailymail.
URL Source: http://blogs.dailymail.com/donsurber/archives/27078
Published: Dec 27, 2010
Author: Don Surber
Post Date: 2010-12-27 09:06:19 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 2492
Comments: 21
Manhattan seems to be filled with foolish people who bitterly cling to their pagan religion. From the New York Times: “Bundle Up, It’s Global Warming.” The headline is attached to a bizarre article by Judah Cohen. Since he is the director of seasonal forecasting at an atmospheric and environmental research firm, I guess he has to come up with some plausible explanation for why the global warming doomsday has been proved wrong. From Judah Cohen: -- As global temperatures have warmed and as Arctic sea ice has melted over the past two and a half decades, more moisture has become available to fall as snow over the continents. So the snow cover across Siberia in the fall has steadily increased. The sun’s energy reflects off the bright white snow and escapes back out to space. As a result, the temperature cools. When snow cover is more abundant in Siberia, it creates an unusually large dome of cold air next to the mountains, and this amplifies the standing waves in the atmosphere, just as a bigger rock in a stream increases the size of the waves of water flowing by. The increased wave energy in the air spreads both horizontally, around the Northern Hemisphere, and vertically, up into the stratosphere and down toward the earth’s surface. In response, the jet stream, instead of flowing predominantly west to east as usual, meanders more north and south. In winter, this change in flow sends warm air north from the subtropical oceans into Alaska and Greenland, but it also pushes cold air south from the Arctic on the east side of the Rockies. Meanwhile, across Eurasia, cold air from Siberia spills south into East Asia and even southwestward into Europe. It is like the tailors explaining to the emperor that only the foolish cannot see the fine garment they made for him to wear. -- But if global warming makes it cold in the winter, then what is the problem? I worked for a while on a dairy farm. My job was to push the brown stuff outside. Hey Cohen isn’t a weather expert; he’s a dairy farm worker. Blizzards across the northern hemisphere and a white Christmas in Australia do not disprove global warming. The lies from the researchers, as disclosed in Climategate, already did that.
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#9. To: no gnu taxes (#0)
Global-warming fraudsters manipulate data on a regular basis: What do these adjustments imply? Well, Hansen has clearly reduced temperatures down in the forties while keeping them about the same in 1980. Why? Well, the only possible reason would be if there was some kind of warming bias in 1940 in Wellington that did not exist in 1980. It implies that things like urban effects, heat retention by asphalt, and heat sources like cars and air conditioners were all more prevelent in 1940 New Zealand than in 1980. However, unless Wellington has gone through some back to nature movement I have not heard about, this is absurd. Nearly without exception, if measurement points experience changing biases in our modern world, it is upwards over time with urbanization, not downwards as implied in this chart. Postscript: A perceptive reader might ask whether Hansen perhaps has specific information about this measurement point. Maybe its siting has improved over time? However, Hansen has to date absolutely rejected the effort made by folks like surfacestations.org to document specific biases in measurement sites via individual site surveys. Hansen is in fact proud that he makes his adjustments knowing nothing about the sites in question, but only using statistical methods (of very dubious quality) to correct using other local measurement sites.
Warming over New Zealand through the past century is unequivocal. NIWA's analysis of measured temperatures uses internationally accepted techniques, including making adjustments for changes such as movement of measurement sites. For example, in Wellington, early temperature measurements were made near sea level, but in 1928 the measurement site was moved from Thorndon (3 metres above sea level) to Kelburn (125 m above sea level). The Kelburn site is on average 0.8°C cooler than Thorndon, because of the extra height above sea level. Such site differences are significant and must be accounted for when analysing long-term changes in temperature. The Climate Science Coalition has not done this. NIWA climate scientists have previously explained to members of the Coalition why such corrections must be made. NIWA's Chief Climate Scientist, Dr David Wratt, says he's very disappointed that the Coalition continue to ignore such advice and therefore to present misleading analyses. NIWA scientists are committed to providing robust information to help all New Zealanders make good decisions. For more information, contact: Dr David Wratt Chief Scientist (Climate) NIWA, Private Bag 14-901 Wellington, New Zealand Phone: +64 4 386 xxxx Cellphone + 64 021 xxxxxx Renwick, James Science Leader - Principal Scientist Climate NIWA, Private Bag 14-901 Wellington, New Zealand Phone: + 64 4-xxxxxxx
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The white line is the measured temperatures in Wellington, New Zealand before Hansen’s team got hold of the data. The red is the data that is used in the world-wide global warming numbers after Hansen had finished adjusting it. The original flat to downward trend is entirely consistent with sattelite temeprature measurement that shows the southern hemisphere not to be warming very much or at all.
#10. To: Capitalist Eric (#9)
NIWA Media Release 26 November 2009
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