LF: Update of Global Temperature Change from NASA

NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies just issued a summary update to their paper 'Global Surface Temperature Change', which was published in the Reviews of Geophysics.

In the summary, which was led by Dr. James Hansen, a number of important points are made...... 1. Contrary to a popular misconception, the rate of warming has not declined, according to NASA.

2. Record high global 12-month running-mean temperature for the period with instrumental data was reached in 2010. The new record temperature in 2010 is particularly meaningful because it occurs when the recent minimum of solar irradiance is having its maximum cooling effect. 3. Satellite-observed nightlights are used to identify measurement stations located in extreme darkness and adjust temperature trends of urban and peri-urban stations for non-climatic factors, verifying that urban effects on analyzed global change are small.

4. Communication of the status of global warming to the public has always been hampered by weather variability. Lay people's perception tends to be strongly influenced by the latest local fluctuation.

5. Other obstacles to public communication include the media's difficulty in framing longterm problems as 'news', a preference for sensationalism, a generally low level of familiarity with basic science, and a preference for 'balance' in every story.

6. Polls indicate that the attacks on scientists have been effective in causing many members of the public to doubt the reality or seriousness of global warming.

7. Temperature data are too useful for scientific studies to be kept under wraps, so NASA GISS will continue to make the data available on a monthly basis. However, there is a practical disadvantage to this in that it allows any data flaws to be interpreted and misrepresented as machinations.

8. Main task is to describe ongoing global temperature change with as much clarity and insight as NASA GISS can.

Note: NASA GISS comments here about communication of this climate change science to the public are their opinion.

The above images are courtesy of NASA GISS and authors J. Hansen, R. Ruedy, M. Sato and K. L (2 images)

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/12/20/australias-white-summer-monbiots-red-fury/

Snow and ice covering buildings and cars on December 19, 2010 at Mount Hotham,Victoria, as snow fell in Australia. The usual hot and summery December weather was replaced in parts by icy gusts sweeping up from the Southern Ocean, giving the country a taste of a white Christmas. Snow has fallen in parts of east coast states New South Wales and Victoria.

Snow fell in Australia on Monday, as the usual hot and summery December weather was replaced in parts by icy gusts sweeping up from the Southern Ocean, giving the country a taste of a white Christmas.

. The patterns of warm pockets of humanity with airports and GHCN stations repeat themselves all over the Arctic, because as anyone who has visited the Arctic knows, aviation is the lifeline of these remote communities. And where do they measure the weather data? At the airport of course. Aviation doesn’t work otherwise.

See my complete report on the weird temperatures from Nuuk here. And while you are at it Geord, read my report about the weird temperatures from Svalbaard, another warm single data point from NASA GISS. Interestingly, at that station a local citizen did some science and proved the UHI effect at the airport.

* Airports release huge amounts of waste heat, from exhaust, de-icing, terminal buildings, and even tarmac in the sun.

* The majority of GHCN weather stations (used by NASA GISS) in the Arctic are at airports.

So, George, when using NASA GISS to prove to your readers that warm pocket weather patterns elsewhere cause cold in England:

There is now strong evidence to suggest that the unusually cold winters of the last two years in the UK are the result of heating elsewhere.

But on either side of these cool blue pools are raging fires of orange, red and maroon: the temperatures in western Greenland, northern Canada and Siberia were between 2C and 10C higher than usual.

Remember Nuuk and Svalbarrd’s thermometers, and then ask Jim Hansen why NASA GISS, a “space studies agency”, doesn’t use satellite data but instead relies upon a surface record that another division of NASA says likely has significant UHI effects that NASA GISS doesn’t filter out sensibly (they only allow for 0.05°C downward adjustment).

The website does a very good job of illustrating that these rising Artic temperatures supposedly responsible for the cold weather everywhere else are really just the result of placing sensors on heat islands (airports e.g.)and then extrapolating these single data points out for hundreds of miles.

I know. Like everything else that comes from the global warming bullshitters, the data is either corrupted by poor science, or deleted because it doesn't support the pre ordained conclusion desired, or just flat out fraud as we learned in the past couple of years.

Meanwhile, we are having one of the coldest Decembers in the past three decades here in Southern Ohio....

You, of course, maintain the right to evaluate temperatures on the entire planet based on what you see outside your window.

Of course your eyes see that. Your a liberal, and you've bet your credibility on a failed God, Algore.

Also, if you remove all ground based weather stations that are within six kilometers of populations over 30,000 people, on the assumption that these are the stations most likely to be affected by the urban heat island effect, the warming trends remain essentially the same.

NASA uses ground based sensors to measure temperatures? If you remove these sensors, there aren't any left to measure temperatures, so how are they getting readings?

Please, do us a favor, and bet your LIFE on this hoax... And when you finally have to admit you're wrong, I'll even loan you the weapon of choice, to hasten your overdue departure.

In Russia, they have a saying: "In America, there is no cost for being stupid. In Russia, if you're stupid, you're dead."

The UN secretary-general today called on world leaders for immediate action on climate change - before flying thousands of miles to the US for a music concert and then leaving in the interval to jet to Europe. [Evening Standard 12/12/07]

The Global Warming Scam

The natural fluctuation of global temperatures

1922: Global warming

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1975: Global cooling

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The "hockey stick" over time demonstrates manmade CO2 emissions are not related to warming:

Pre-2007: Global warming

Global warming has finally been explained: the Earth is getting hotter because the Sun is burning more brightly than at any time during the past 1,000 years, according to new research. A study by Swiss and German scientists suggests that increasing radiation from the sun is responsible for recent global climate changes. Dr Sami Solanki, the director of the renowned Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Gottingen, Germany, who led the research, said: "The Sun has been at its strongest over the past 60 years and may now be affecting global temperatures. [Telegraph 18/7/04]
They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer. [BBC 7/6/04]
Global warming and melting polar ice caps are not just problems here on Earth. Mars is facing similar global changes, researchers say, with temperatures across the red planet rising by around 0.65 degrees over the last few decades. [Register]
Sunspots - 9/27/2001

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For about 300 years Jupiter's banded atmosphere has shown a remarkable feature to telescopic viewers, a large swirling storm system known as The Great Red Spot. In 2006, another red storm system appeared, actually seen to form as smaller whitish oval-shaped storms merged and then developed the curious reddish hue.

Now, Jupiter has a third red spot, again produced from a smaller whitish storm. http://whatreallyhappened.com. Jupiter's recent outbreak of red spots is likely related to large scale climate change as the gas giant planet is getting warmer near the equator. [NASA]

Neptune has been getting brighter since around 1980; furthermore, infrared measurements of the planet since 1980 show that the planet has been warming steadily from 1980 to 2004. As they say on Neptune, global warming has become an inconvenient truth. [World Climate Report]

2007+: Global cooling

Dr. Kenneth Tapping is worried about the sun. Solar activity comes in regular cycles, but the latest one is refusing to start. Sunspots have all but vanished, and activity is suspiciously quiet. The last time this happened was 400 years ago -- and it signaled a solar event known as a "Maunder Minimum," along with the start of what we now call the "Little Ice Age."Tapping, a solar researcher and project director for Canada's National Research Council, says it may be happening again. Overseeing a giant radio telescope he calls a "stethoscope for the sun," Tapping says, if the pattern doesn't change quickly, the earth is in for some very chilly weather. [ICSC 2/9/08]

Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile -- the list goes on and on. No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously. [DailyTech 2/27/2008]

IPCC computer predictions of warming versus real-world temperature data (blue and green lines):

Arctic ice extent was 30 per cent greater on August 11, 2008 than it was on the August 12, 2007:

Recent satellite observations from the Arctic indicate that spring ice melting is beginning at a lower rate than normal this year. According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, the area of ice-covered ocean has decreased only about 750,000 km2 from its peak value at the end of February, compared to a normal decline of 1.1 million km2 by late April. If this trend continues, the annual ice melt in 2009 may be less than in recent years, and the late summer Arctic ice extent may rebound from its well-publicized downtrend. [stormx 4/22/2009]

[A] 20-member contingent [of scientists] from Canada, the U.S., Germany, and Italy - spent one month exploring the North Pole as well as never-before measured regions of the Arctic. Among their findings: Rather than finding newly formed ice to be two metres thick, "we measured ice thickness up to four metres," stated a spokesperson for the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research of the Helmholtz Association, Germany's largest scientific organization. [National Post 5/4/09]
In 2008-2009 the ice melt across during the Antarctic summer (October-January) was the lowest ever recorded in the satellite history:
The Global sea level rise has flattened considerably since mid-2005:
Rise of sea levels is 'the greatest lie ever told'.
The period between about 1645 and 1715 was particularly cold and coincides with the Maunder Minimum, where only about 50 sunspots appeared, compared to an expectation of from 40,000 to 50,000. [New American]
[In 2008 the Sun] hit a 50-year low in solar wind pressure, a 55-year low in radio emissions, and a 100-year low in sunspot activity. [BBC]
Realtime sun image

Click for full size.
New measurements from a NASA satellite show a dramatic cooling in the upper atmosphere that correlates with the declining phase of the current solar cycle. For the first time, researchers can show a timely link between the Sun and the climate of Earth's thermosphere, the region above 100 km, an essential step in making accurate predictions of climate change in the high atmosphere. [PRNewswire]

CLIMATEGATE!

LEAKED EMAILS AND DOCUMENTS FROM HADLEY CLIMATE CHANGE UNIT PROVE GLOBAL WARMING "EXPERTS" KNEW EARTH IS ACTUALLY COOLING!

If you own any shares in alternative energy companies I should start dumping them NOW. The conspiracy behind the Anthropogenic Global Warming myth (aka AGW; aka ManBearPig) has been suddenly, brutally and quite deliciously exposed after a hacker broke into the computers at the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (aka CRU) and released 61 megabytes of confidential files onto the internet. (Hat tip: Watts Up With That)

When you read some of those files – including 1079 emails and 72 documents – you realise just why the boffins at CRU might have preferred to keep them confidential. As Andrew Bolt puts it, this scandal could well be “the greatest in modern science”. These alleged emails – supposedly exchanged by some of the most prominent scientists pushing AGW theory – suggest:

Conspiracy, collusion in exaggerating warming data, possibly illegal destruction of embarrassing information, organised resistance to disclosure, manipulation of data, private admissions of flaws in their public claims and much more. [full article]

More on Climategate.

NASA's press office "marginalized or mischaracterized" studies on global warming between 2004 and 2006, the agency's own internal watchdog concluded. In a report released Monday [4/4/2008], NASA's inspector general office called it "inappropriate political interference" by political appointees in the press office. [PhysOrg]

A simple method of manipulating surface temperature data which does not involve rocket science is to place temperature monitors in areas prone to heating or next to heat outlets. Another method is to ignore most of the weather stations sited in higher, colder places and use mainly ones located in warmer spots.

Temperature monitor next to incinerator

A comparison of GISS data from the last 111 years shows US cities getting warmer whereas the temperatures of rural sites are not increasing:

This will seriously skew temperature records upwards, especially when you consider the Urban Heat Island effect can raise the temperature of New York by up to 10°F.

Okay, take notes, there will be a quiz at the end of class.

First of all, greenhouse effect is not a bad thing. Without it, our planet would not support life as we know it, as the average temperature would be too cold to support liquid water.

Water vapor is the single most potent greenhouse gas in the atmosphere, trapping more heat than carbon dioxide and methane put together. Estimates of the impact of water vapor on global warming vary widely from a minimum of 60% of all greenhouse effect to 98% of all greenhouse effect, but even at the minimum of 60%, that leaves 40% of greenhouse effect to be shared by all other chemicals combined, including carbon dioxide and methane (which has ten times the greenhouse capacity pound for pound as carbon dioxide).

A closer look at the numbers

Now then, looking at Carbon Dioxide, we find that only .117% of atmospheric carbon dioxide is directly attributable to human technology such as automobiles. .117% is a rather small amount. If we were to measure out .117% of a football field, it comes out to 4.212 inches, barely long enough to get off the touchdown line.

So, if humans ceased all technological activity, we would still see 99.883% of the carbon dioxide remain in the atmosphere, assuming all other factors remain stable (which is, of course, silly.)

Over the last few years, there have been very careful studies in Antarctica which clearly show global temperatures rising together with atmospheric carbon dioxide. Global warmers have sent me several of these research papers with the usual "Ah HA!" type comment, but on reading the papers it is clear that the global warmers stopped at the abstract, because what these recent studies show is that Carbon Dioxide levels increased AFTER the rise in global temperature. Let me re-state that. Studies of Antarctic ice show that the Earth would get warmer, and THEN Carbon Dioxide levels would increase. And there is nothing at all mysterious about this. Carbon dioxide is a very unique chemical in that it is more effectively dissolved in liquids in lower temperatures. Normally, air will hold more water when warm, sugar will dissolve in water more quickly when warm, but carbon dioxide will escape from solution as the temperature rises, which is why your beer will soak your shirt if it is too warm when you open it.

So, as the sun warms the Earth (as recorded in the ice) carbon dioxide dissolved in the oceans and lakes bubbles into the sky like too-warm soda pop fizzing over the top of the glass, and as the Antarctic ice reveals, winds up in the atmosphere.

Now, this is not to say that I think we should waste our planet's resources. Quite the contrary, I think we need to be very careful of what we have, because we are not likely to get a replacement planet any time soon. But the global warming "hype" is exactly that, hype to sell products and policies. If you want to do something about the damage to the planet caused by oil, STOP THE WARS BEING FOUGHT OVER IT!

Sixteen gallons of oil. That's how much the average American soldier in Iraq and Afghanistan consumes on a daily basis -- either directly, through the use of Humvees, tanks, trucks, and helicopters, or indirectly, by calling in air strikes. Multiply this figure by 162,000 soldiers in Iraq, 24,000 in Afghanistan, and 30,000 in the surrounding region (including sailors aboard U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf) and you arrive at approximately 3.5 million gallons of oil: the daily petroleum tab for U.S. combat operations in the Middle East war zone. [Pacific Free Press]

The [Iraq] war is responsible for at least 141 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e) since March 2003. To put this in perspective, CO2 released by the war to date equals the emissions from putting 25 million more cars on the road in the US this year.[climateandcapitalism.com]

Getting tired of the bozoed calcon following me around on the 'net, wanting to discuss "tossing salad." Sorry, you sick rump-ranger. NOT interested.

You mean the one that completely discredits your other charts showing 2010 as the hottest year on record?

Getting tired of the bozoed calcon following me around on the 'net, wanting to discuss "tossing salad." Sorry, you sick rump-ranger. NOT interested.

Let me know when you've digested the part about rising CO2 amplifying water vapor.

Again, the satellite record of surface temperatures (the chart in #9 is lower troposphere measurements):

If you will notice, the end point is exactly at the high for temperatures in 2010, and not at the end of the data.

As everything except Climate Change/Sixth Extinction will be blamed for the coming Human Die Off.

It's not as specific, but then the point here is not to be doing anything about the specifics anyway.

No I don't. The data is in, the global warming scam is dead. But I DO find it interesting that you cannot refute anything in post #12, which completely decimates your entire thread... ("Denial" is not just a river in Egypt.)

Again, thanks for playing. You've been an... "entertaining" contestant, but you LOSE.

Getting tired of the bozoed calcon following me around on the 'net, wanting to discuss "tossing salad." Sorry, you sick rump-ranger. NOT interested.

I'm not sure what i'm supposed to refute here - YOUR OWN PICTURE shows declining sea ice well below the 1979-2000 average:

You seem to have confused posting a bunch of random pictures, many of which contradict your own arguments, with logic.

LMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

THANKS FOR PLAYING.

Getting tired of the bozoed calcon following me around on the 'net, wanting to discuss "tossing salad." Sorry, you sick rump-ranger. NOT interested.

Watching two men play poker, when they have nothing to bet, isn't very interesting.

Getting tired of the bozoed calcon following me around on the 'net, wanting to discuss "tossing salad." Sorry, you sick rump-ranger. NOT interested.

Waiting for you to throw another hissy fit, proclaim you put somebody on filter, and then display self satisfaction isn't 'interesting' but it sure is amusing.