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Title: Was 2010 The Warmest Year Ever?
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URL Source: http://www.thepiratescove.us/2010/1 ... as-2010-the-warmest-year-ever/
Published: Dec 13, 2010
Author: thepiratescove.
Post Date: 2010-12-13 19:17:48 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 11823
Comments: 27
Reality, and science, is starting to roll in. As Europe is locked in a massive cold snap (oh, sorry, I forgot, cold is now caused by greenhouse gases), and America is seeing lots of early snowfall and cold temperatures, people are looking at the real data, and The Observatory provides this bit of knowledge If the media headlines are to be believed 2010 is heading to be either the warmest or in the top three warmest years since the instrumental global temperature records began 150 years ago, and proof that the world is getting ever warmer. But looking more closely at the data reveals a different picture. 2010 will be remembered for just two warm months, attributable to the El Nino effect, with the rest of the year being nothing but average, or less than average temperature. With November and December¹s data still to come in (that will account for 16% of the year¹s data) the UK Met Office estimates the temperature anomaly (with respect to the end of the 19th century) for 2010 so far as 0.756 deg C. As it has been cooling for the past 4 months we can expect that figure to decline below the 2005 0.747 deg C level and the El Nino influenced 1998 of 0.820 deg C. 2010 will therefore be no higher than the third warmest year, possibly lower. March and June were much warmer than normal, thanks to a weak El Nino. FYI for all you alarmists, it’s a natural process. Then there is this Actually, with the exception of 1998 – a ‘blip’ year when temperatures spiked because of a strong ‘El Nino’ effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) – the data on the Met Office’s and CRU’s own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years. They go up a bit, then down a bit, but those small rises and falls amount to less than their measuring system’s acknowledged margin of error. They have no statistical significance and reveal no evidence of any trend at all. Reality’s a bitch.
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 8.
#3. To: no gnu taxes (#0)
(Edited)
You stick with the blogs from idiots, i'll stick with the science and the data.
2010 will therefore be no higher than the third warmest year, possibly lower. March and June were much warmer than normal, thanks to a weak El Nino. FYI for all you alarmists, it’s a natural process. Then there is this Actually, with the exception of 1998 – a ‘blip’ year when temperatures spiked because of a strong ‘El Nino’ effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) – the data on the Met Office’s and CRU’s own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years. Facts you can't refute.
The preliminary figure for January to October 2010 is 0.52 °C above the long-term average on the Met Office – Climatic Research Unit (HadCRUT3) dataset, placing it equal with the record-breaking 1998. The Met Office annual global temperature forecast for 2010, Climate could warm to record levels in 2010, issued at the COP15 talks in Copenhagen, predicted that the year was “more likely than not” to be the warmest year. Dr Adam Scaife, head of long range forecasting at the Met Office said, “The three leading global temperature datasets show that, so far, 2010 is clearly warmer than 2009 despite El Niño declining and being replaced by a very strong La Niña, which has a cooling effect.” Although La Niña has stabilised, it is still expected to affect global temperature through the coming year. This effect is small compared to the total accrued global warming to date, but it does mean that 2011 is unlikely to be a record year according to the Met Office prediction based on the three main datasets. Nevertheless an anomaly of 0.44 °C is still likely — with the range very likely to be between 0.28 °C and 0.60 °C. The middle of this range would place 2011 among the top 10 warmest years on the record. Dr Vicky Pope, the Met Office’s head of climate science advice said, “Our annual prediction of global temperatures for the next year combined with our monitoring of the observed climate helps people to put the world’s current climate into context.” http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2010/pr20101202b.html Facts you can't refute
Do you even pay attention to what you post? This is the same data I just debunked. And these clowns are already backtracking. Look at the title: Near record temperatures in 2010 to be followed by cooler 2011 Already hedging their bets. tsk tsk
#10. To: no gnu taxes (#8)
Let me know when some claims the earth with linearly warm every year. Pay attention:
This is the same data I just debunked. And these clowns are already backtracking. Look at the title: Near record temperatures in 2010 to be followed by cooler 2011 Already hedging their bets. Yep. What I find hilarious are those citing data from 150 years ago to come up with a 'baseline'. If you begin THERE, you have to factor in the 'margin of error' for the first 75 years which is plus or minus 3 degrees due to the KNOWN INACCURACIES of the data measuring techniques and equipment employed.
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http://rankexploits.com/musings/2010/giss-nov-anomaly-0-74c/
#5. To: go65 (#3)
With November and December¹s data still to come in (that will account for 16% of the year¹s data) the UK Met Office estimates the temperature anomaly (with respect to the end of the 19th century) for 2010 so far as 0.756 deg C. As it has been cooling for the past 4 months we can expect that figure to decline below the 2005 0.747 deg C level and the El Nino influenced 1998 of 0.820 deg C.
#6. To: no gnu taxes (#5)
Global temperature has warmed to near record levels in 2010 say climate scientists from the Met Office and the University of East Anglia. Provisional figures for the three main global temperature datasets put 2010 on track to become first or second warmest in the instrumental record.
#8. To: go65 (#6)
Replies to Comment # 8. Near record temperatures in 2010 to be followed by cooler 2011
The middle of this range would place 2011 among the top 10 warmest years on the record.
#22. To: no gnu taxes (#8)
Do you even pay attention to what you post?
End Trace Mode for Comment # 8.
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