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Title: Was 2010 The Warmest Year Ever?
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.thepiratescove.us/2010/1 ... as-2010-the-warmest-year-ever/
Published: Dec 13, 2010
Author: thepiratescove.
Post Date: 2010-12-13 19:17:48 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 12083
Comments: 27

Reality, and science, is starting to roll in. As Europe is locked in a massive cold snap (oh, sorry, I forgot, cold is now caused by greenhouse gases), and America is seeing lots of early snowfall and cold temperatures, people are looking at the real data, and The Observatory provides this bit of knowledge

If the media headlines are to be believed 2010 is heading to be either the warmest or in the top three warmest years since the instrumental global temperature records began 150 years ago, and proof that the world is getting ever warmer. But looking more closely at the data reveals a different picture.

2010 will be remembered for just two warm months, attributable to the El Nino effect, with the rest of the year being nothing but average, or less than average temperature.

With November and December¹s data still to come in (that will account for 16% of the year¹s data) the UK Met Office estimates the temperature anomaly (with respect to the end of the 19th century) for 2010 so far as 0.756 deg C. As it has been cooling for the past 4 months we can expect that figure to decline below the 2005 0.747 deg C level and the El Nino influenced 1998 of 0.820 deg C.

2010 will therefore be no higher than the third warmest year, possibly lower.

March and June were much warmer than normal, thanks to a weak El Nino. FYI for all you alarmists, it’s a natural process. Then there is this

Actually, with the exception of 1998 – a ‘blip’ year when temperatures spiked because of a strong ‘El Nino’ effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) – the data on the Met Office’s and CRU’s own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years.

They go up a bit, then down a bit, but those small rises and falls amount to less than their measuring system’s acknowledged margin of error. They have no statistical significance and reveal no evidence of any trend at all.

Reality’s a bitch.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

#3. To: no gnu taxes (#0) (Edited)

http://rankexploits.com/musings/2010/giss-nov-anomaly-0-74c/
  • This temperature jumped 0.011C despite the cooling influence of La Nina.
  • We’ve set an record high for November.
  • The 12 month annual average remains above the record annual average set in Jan-Dec 2005. So, it looks quite likely that the Jan-Dec 2010 average will be a record high annual average anomaly for GISTemp.
  • The 12-month average is just slightly below the 12-month multi-model mean for the AR4 models forced using the A1B SRES. Whether the 12-month lagging average GISTemp will end above or below the multi-model mean for 2010 in December is a coin toss! (Well a biased coin. I know the MM of A1B drops a little next month, so GISTemp will just edge out the A1B SRES unless GISTemp plummets in Dec.)

You stick with the blogs from idiots, i'll stick with the science and the data.

go65  posted on  2010-12-13   19:40:11 ET  (2 images) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 3.

#4. To: go65 (#3)

You stick with the blogs from idiots, i'll stick with the science and the data.

Don't worry, he will.

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-12-13 19:53:23 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: go65 (#3)

With November and December¹s data still to come in (that will account for 16% of the year¹s data) the UK Met Office estimates the temperature anomaly (with respect to the end of the 19th century) for 2010 so far as 0.756 deg C. As it has been cooling for the past 4 months we can expect that figure to decline below the 2005 0.747 deg C level and the El Nino influenced 1998 of 0.820 deg C.

2010 will therefore be no higher than the third warmest year, possibly lower.

March and June were much warmer than normal, thanks to a weak El Nino. FYI for all you alarmists, it’s a natural process. Then there is this

Actually, with the exception of 1998 – a ‘blip’ year when temperatures spiked because of a strong ‘El Nino’ effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) – the data on the Met Office’s and CRU’s own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years.

Facts you can't refute.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2010-12-13 20:02:44 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

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