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Title: US Economic Index Rises For Fourth Straight Month
Source: Deutsche Presse-Agentur
URL Source: http://www.monstersandcritics.com/n ... ises-for-fourth-straight-month
Published: Nov 18, 2010
Author: Deutsche Presse-Agentur
Post Date: 2010-11-18 11:08:08 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 675
Comments: 1

Washington - A key gauge of US economic performance rose in October for the fourth straight month, a private research group said Thursday, at a pace that suggests the world's largest economy could be picking up a little steam.

The New York-based Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators climbed 0.5 per cent to 111.3 in October, after rising 0.5 per cent in September and 0.1 per cent in August.

The improvement comes ahead of the critical US holiday season and as the Federal Reserve announced a controversial plan to buy 600 billion dollars in Treasury securities to help prop up the economy.

Ken Goldstein, an economist with the Conference Board, said the index was rising at a faster pace in recent months that would suggest 'change may be around the corner.'

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

Nice, pity it is only the "financials" which are rising.

From Market-ticker:

All good, right?

Weeeeelllll.

The largest positive contributors were interest rate spread, stock prices and real money supply - in that order. That is, October's spread in the TNX .vs. Fed Funds, stock price increases and the M2 money supply drove the "improvement."

I'm amused...... manipulation by The Fed results in a positive LEI, and without those manipulations, well......

(The not-amusing part is that manipulating these things doesn't actually change economic activity. That is, when these indicators change due to economic activity they are in fact leading indicators. When they change due to manipulation by The Fed, they tell you nothing other than that someone manipulated the data, which in turn makes the LEI worthless.)

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-11-18   15:19:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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