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Economy
See other Economy Articles

Title: More on Radical Tax Reform
Source: Dissenting Opinions
URL Source: http://jwpegler.blogspot.com/2010/11/more-on-radical-tax-reform.html
Published: Nov 11, 2010
Author: Eric Blankenburg
Post Date: 2010-11-11 15:56:06 by jwpegler
Keywords: None
Views: 2326
Comments: 2

The idea of simplifying the tax code by lowering tax rates and eliminating deductions is not a new one.

In the 1970s, an economics professor from Canada (Art Laffer) demonstrated that there are two rates that will produce the same revenue. A tax rate of 0% will produce the same revenue of a tax rate of 104% or higher, namely ZERO revenue. However, a 10% rate and a 90% are not inequivalent. Imagine a skewed bell curve. A 10% rate might produce the same revenue as 80% or 90% or 95% or some other high rate. It depends on a lot of things. Reducing rates can produce higher revenue by stimulating economic activity, but it depends on where the rate is in the context of the condition of the economy.

Second, there are a lot of serious people who believe that the current tax code severely distorts economic activity to the detriment of the U.S. Should we give people a tax break for buying a big house? Probably not. Should we give them a break for taking a risk and investing in a new business? If we care about the long-term competitiveness of the U.S. economy then the answer has to be yes.

The GOP was almost in complete agreement while Reagan and Clinton were Presidents that we needed radical tax reform in this direction -- either a flat rate income tax with limited deductions or completely replacing the income tax with a national sales tax. Jerry Brown agreed with this in 1992 too (Art Laffer was his economic advisor.)

We all had great hope when the GOP took control of the Presidency while keeping control of both Houses of Congress for the first time since before the Great Depression. Unfortunately, all discussion of radical tax reform died a quick death during the Bush administration. Bush was too busy creating new social programs like Medicare Part D and No Child Left Behind to be bothered with such trivia as the long term competitive nature of America.

The idea of radical tax reform is not dead. It has now made a surprising comeback in the Obama Deficit Commission.

Sure, there are partisan hacks like Sean Hannity who will piss and moan about the proposals just because Obama created the commission. However, it will be the left-wing of the Democrat Party who will have the biggest problems with this proposal. They are already out in force.

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#1. To: jwpegler (#0)

What do you think the tax rate that maximize revenue is?

Rhino  posted on  2010-11-11   16:59:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 1.

#2. To: Rhino (#1) (Edited)

What do you think the tax rate that maximize revenue is?

Great question and it depends on circumstances, including what kind of deductions (loopholes) we have. Today, we have deductions that don't contribute to the overall health of the country.

Federal tax revenues have ranged from a little over 17% of GDP to a little over 19% of GDP for a few decades. This includes when the top rate was 70% and when the top rate was 28%.

Bush lowered tax rates without eliminating tax deductions. Reagan never did that. When Reagan lowered tax rates twice (top rate went from 70% to 50% in 83 and then to 28% in 86) he also eliminated deductions.

After Reagan, tax rates increased and more deductions proliferated. One exception is that Clinton / Gingrich cut the capital gains rate. We had an economic boom as a result.

The problem today is that most politicians are economic illiterates. The left says punish the "rich" with high taxes and the government will have money to spend on "social justice". The right claims that cutting any taxes will stimulate an economic boom. Neither of these positions is correct.

The best approach is to lower tax rates and reduce deductions. Reagan believed this. Bill Bradley believed this. Jack Kemp believed this. Jerry Brown believed this. And now Obama's debt commission believes this. It's a bi-partisan belief. Economic illiterates don't understand this. That's the problem.

I will trade tax deductions for lower rates any time. I will also trade consumption taxes for taxes on innovation and production anytime. It's the right thing to do for the country. Unfortunately, there are politicians who are either too stupid or too power hungry to do this. That's the problem.

jwpegler  posted on  2010-11-11 17:43:05 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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