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United States News
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Title: Midterm Election 2010 Thread
Source: [None]
URL Source: [None]
Published: Aug 31, 2010
Author: A K A Stone
Post Date: 2010-08-31 17:24:18 by A K A Stone
Keywords: None
Views: 18229
Comments: 79

This thread is to discuss the midterm election that will take place Nov 2, 2010

I think that the Republicans take the house. I think that they will take the Senate or be within 2 seats of Majority.

I predict Rand Paul to win.

I predict Miller from Alaska to win.

I predict Mike Turner to win.

Reid will lose.

Rubio will win.

Pelosi will win.

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 48.

#30. To: A K A Stone (#0) (Edited)

I think that they will take the Senate or be within 2 seats of Majority.

They can't take the Senate without booting out both Patty Murray in Washington and Barbara Boxer in California.

Here's the situation in Washington:

Murray and Dino Rossi are essentially tied in the polls.

Murray has significantly more money than Rossi and is running constant commercials (even on Fox News) both positive (she favors R & D tax breaks) and negative (Rossi has been raising money from D.C. lobbyists). Rossi's one add is not effective.

Rossi is a two time gubernatorial loser.

Rossi's main primary challenger (football star Clink Didier has refused to endorse Rossi).

Seattle is kooky leftist. East of the mountains is mostly conservative. The question comes down to how people are doing in the Seattle suburbs (where Microsoft and Boeing live).

The economy here is still pretty good. Our housing market didn't crash and burn like it did in so many other places. The unemployment rate is lower than in many other places.

However, Microsoft had their first ever layoffs last year(more than 5,000). Boeing announced lay offs of about 10,000. The layoffs in both companies were spread across the world, not just here.

It's going to be a squeaker. Given the corruption in King County, Murray will probably win by a few hundred votes.

jwpegler  posted on  2010-09-01   12:45:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: jwpegler (#30)

The question comes down to how people are doing in the Seattle suburbs (where Microsoft and Boeing live).

Since this is the era of Chicago-style politics, maybe the question will come down to how many are buried in Seattle cemetaries.

And how many of them can be persuaded to vote democrat.

Ignore Amos  posted on  2010-09-01   12:52:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: Ignore Amos (#34) (Edited)

maybe the question will come down to how many are buried in Seattle cemetaries.

Here in Seattle is different. They keep recounting the ballots until the Democrat wins.

When Rossi ran for governor in 2004, over 2.8 million votes were cast. After the initial vote count, Rossi led Democrat Christine Gregoire by 261 votes. After the second count, Rossi led by 42 votes. After the third count, Gregoire took a 129 vote lead and won.

Why did they do three counts instead of 2? Because the Democrat was still losing. Why did they stop at 3 and not do 4? Because the Democrat was winning.

They like to lose military ballots prior to the first count. They like to "discover" previously uncounted ballots (in heavily Democratic areas) after the first count.

If Rossi and Murray are tied in the polls, Rossi will lose.

jwpegler  posted on  2010-09-01   14:23:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#41. To: jwpegler, war (#40)

Why did they do three counts instead of 2? Because the Democrat was still losing. Why did they stop at 3 and not do 4? Because the Democrat was winning.

According to war, only republicans engage in vote fraud. (given that he's STILL whining about FLA)

Those damn republicans! They all ought to be shot!

Ignore Amos  posted on  2010-09-01   15:20:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#42. To: Ignore Amos (#41)

According to war, only republicans engage in vote fraud.

Link please.

war  posted on  2010-09-01   15:44:59 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#43. To: war (#42)

Link please.

I've never seen you complain about any instance of a possible stolen election in which the democrat came out ahead.

In fact, I've only seen you complain about Florida 2000

And no, I'm not going to scan through 100.000s of your posts (here and at LP) in an attempt to find the perhaps one post where you did.

Sorry.

Ignore Amos  posted on  2010-09-01   15:50:23 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#44. To: Ignore Amos (#43) (Edited)

There was a Congressional election in FL back in the mid90's in which there was obvious fraud on behalf of the dems that i recall making some cynical comments about on MSN.

It certainly didn't measure up to stealing a Presidential election tho...

war  posted on  2010-09-01   15:52:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#45. To: war (#44)

People steal elections because of greed, lust for power - whatever lack of human integrity you care to name. Let's just be religious for a moment and call it sin. (I don't know of a more descriptive term that's ever been coined.)

Because I believe that sin exists in ALL human hearts (not just in those who call themselves republicans), it follows that I believe the sin of "stealing elections" is possible in any and every political persuasion.

It just so happens - because of the FACT that inner-city political machines are predominantly Democrat and it is easier to perform vote fraud in cities - that we hear more of democrat voter fraud than republican.

But do I believe that republicans are incapable of voter fraud? Certainly not!

I will say this (and I'm repeating something I said in a recent post): Modern vote fraud goes all the way back at least to "Landslide Lyndon" in 1948 - and through the more familiar JFK/Nixon in '60.

If the two political parties were REALLY interested in doing away with vote fraud, it would have already happened. Counting votes ain't rocket science.

It's obvious to anyone that it's simply a gentlemen's agreement.

Ignore Amos  posted on  2010-09-01   16:07:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#46. To: Ignore Amos (#45)

IN RE 1960: Several days after CA certified JFK as the victor it mysteriously awarded its electoral votes to Nixon.

Why?

Because they expected Nixon to contest IL and TX. He had an operation ready to go in TX that would have rivaled anything LBJ had there. The problem was, he wasn't going to be able to undo IL...so, he looked at challenging lesser states like New Mexico, Alabama and Hawaii...eventually, he dropped it. Old Trickster was pissed that, if anything JFK cheated better than he did.

war  posted on  2010-09-01   16:13:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#47. To: war (#46)

Old Trickster was pissed that, if anything JFK cheated better than he did.

There's a famous quote attributed to Joe Kennedy where he's concerned about how much it's costing him: "Don't spend a dime more than you need. I'm not paying for a landslide."

Unfortunately, I think that wasn't about the election itself (it would be funnier if it was), but it was the W.VA primary against Humpherey.

Ignore Amos  posted on  2010-09-01   16:22:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#48. To: Ignore Amos (#47)

I think it was the primary, too.

war  posted on  2010-09-01   16:28:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 48.

#49. To: war (#48)

Otis is dying or something...

www.libertypost.org/cgi-b...ArtNum=295067&Disp=12#C12

It looks like it might be serious.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2010-09-01 16:30:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 48.

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