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Title: Company Payrolls Rose by 71,000 in July; U.S. Jobless Rate 9.5%
Source:
BBG
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com
Published: Aug 6, 2010
Author: Timothy R. Homan
Post Date: 2010-08-06 08:34:10 by war
Keywords: None
Views: 26849
Comments: 45
Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Companies in the U.S. added workers in July for a seventh straight month at a pace that suggests the labor-market recovery will be slow to take hold. Private payrolls that exclude government agencies rose by 71,000, less than forecast, after a gain of 31,000 in June that was smaller than previously reported, Labor Department figures in Washington showed today. Economists projected a 90,000 rise in private jobs, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. Overall employment fell 131,000 and the jobless rate held at 9.5 percent. The economy has been slow in recouping the 8.4 million jobs lost since the recession began in December 2007, keeping consumer spending from accelerating. While growth has slowed and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has described the outlook as “unusually uncertain,” financial markets have rebounded: the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index last month climbed the most in a year and commodities rallied. “The most likely outcome is moderate private-sector hiring and income gains through the rest of the year,” Aaron Smith, a senior economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said before the report. At the same time, he said, “job growth is insufficient to lower the unemployment rate.” Total employment fell a revised 221,000 in June, today’s figures showed. Payroll estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 84 economists ranged from a decline of 160,000 to a gain of 10,000 after a previously reported loss of 125,000 jobs in June that was led by census dismissals. Manufacturing Gain Private employment in July was led by gains in manufacturing and education and health services. Estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from increases of 20,000 to 150,000. Economists surveyed forecast the jobless rate would rise to 9.6 percent last month from 9.5 percent in June. The July unemployment figure reflected a decrease in the size of the labor force. Joblessness, which reached a 26-year high of 10.1 percent in October, will take time to recede as the number of previously discouraged jobseekers returning to the labor force exceeds the number of available jobs. The Census Bureau said it let go about 144,000 of the people conducting the decennial population count from mid-June to mid-July. It still had about 200,000 temporary workers on staff as of July 17, indicating additional cuts to come that will keep distorting the payroll figures for months. For that reason, economists say private payrolls will be a better gauge of the state of the labor market for much of 2010. Auto Workers Manufacturing payrolls increased by 36,000 in July, more than the survey median of a 13,000 increase and reflecting a 21,000 rise in employment in the motor vehicle and parts industry. Those factory gains may slacken as the industry leading the U.S. economic expansion cools. A report this week showed manufacturing expanded in July at the slowest pace of the year as orders and production decelerated. Employment at service-providers fell for a second month. Construction companies cut payrolls by 11,000 after reducing them 21,000 in June. The number of temporary workers decreased by 6,000, the first drop since September. Average hourly earnings rose 4 cents to $22.59 in July, today’s report showed. The average work week for all workers increased to 34.2 hours in July from 34.1 hours the prior month. Government Employment Government payrolls decreased by 202,000. State and local governments employment declined by 48,000, while federal government jobs dropped by 154,000. The so-called underemployment rate -- which includes part- time workers who’d prefer a full-time position and people who want work but have given up looking -- held at 16.5 percent. Delta Air Lines Inc. and Ford Motor Co. are among companies adding to payrolls. Delta, the world’s largest carrier, plans to hire 1,000 workers at its 25 biggest U.S. airports to help with planes that are flying with near-record percentages of seats filled and cope with weather disruptions, Chief Executive Officer Richard Anderson said last month. Ford, the second-largest U.S. automaker, said this week it plans to add 27 percent more UAW positions at its U.S. plants than originally planned. Ford agreed to add 1,975 jobs, 416 more than it originally intended, by 2012 to do work traditionally done by suppliers. The jobs at nine U.S. plants will be filled by a mix of idled current Ford workers and new hires, Jennifer Flake, a spokeswoman, said in an interview. United Technologies United Technologies Corp. said July 26 it expects restructuring actions from the first half of the year to result in job cuts of about 2,400 hourly and salaried employees. The maker of Carrier, Pratt & Whitney and Sikorsky products, had eliminated 900 jobs as of June 30 and is targeting most of the rest of the reductions for 2010 and 2011. Prices for industrial raw materials are signaling the global economy will avoid falling back into recession, according to Edward Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research Inc. in New York. The Commodity Research Bureau/Reuters index of 13 materials for immediate delivery, which Yardeni last month said was among the best gauges of the economy’s current condition, has climbed 5.8 percent since reaching an almost four-month low on June 7. Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph E. Stiglitz said the U.S. still faces an “anemic recovery,” requiring another round of “better designed” stimulus measures from the government. Stiglitz on Economy “The recovery is so weak that it is not strong enough to generate new jobs for the new entrants in the labor force, let alone to find jobs for the 15 million Americans who would like a job and can’t get one.” Stiglitz told Bloomberg Television in an interview in Sydney yesterday. The jobs report may help determine whether the Fed takes any new measures aimed at boosting growth or sticks to its outlook that the “extended period” of interest rates close to zero and a near-record $2.3 trillion balance sheet will eventually bring down unemployment. “We have a considerable way to go to achieve a full recovery in our economy,” Bernanke said in a speech this week to southern U.S. state lawmakers in Charleston, South Carolina. Still, “rising demand from households and businesses should help sustain growth,” and consumer spending “seems likely to pick up in coming quarters from its recent modest pace.” Options outlined by Bernanke last month include enhancing the low-rate commitment, reducing the 0.25 percent rate the Fed pays on banks’ reserve deposits and maintaining or expanding the amount of assets on the balance sheet. The policy-making Federal Open Market Committee next meets on Aug. 10. November Elections The economy, jobs and the budget deficit are likely to be top issues in November elections that will decide control of Congress. Heading into the campaign season, the Obama administration is facing public pessimism about the direction of the economy. More than 7 out of 10 Americans say the economy is still mired in recession, and the country is conflicted over how to balance concerns over joblessness and the federal budget deficit, according to a Bloomberg National Poll. Americans are torn about whether the federal government should focus on curbing spending or creating jobs, the poll conducted July 9-12 showed. Seven of 10 Americans say reducing unemployment is the priority. At the same time, the public is skeptical of the President Barack Obama’s stimulus program and wary of more spending, with more than half saying the deficit is “dangerously out of control.” Support for Obama has fallen as the jobless rate has been slow to retreat. His job approval over a three-day period ending July 31 was 44 percent, compared with 54 percent at this time last year, according to a Gallup poll.
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 25.
#2. To: war (#0)
I'm not sure we're out of your hero's Depression yet. The stim may have given off a false positive.
I'm sorry, but Obama PROMISED that he could do a hell of a lot better than Bush. Obama PROMISED us his "Stimulus" would bring back better days. It didn't.
You posted a chart which showed that it did. And he has...
You posted a chart which showed that it did. I'm sorry, but Obama PROMISED that he could do a hell of a lot better than Bush. And he has... The thing about history? It may not repeat but it sure does rhyme-Samuel Clemens We're at 1970-72(History repeating also compresses the mistake/timewall). 1970: 1) Russian Crop Fail 2)US Peak Oil Domestic This lead to the date that Tyler Durden singles out here: The administration thinks it can pull a fast one by pretending the unemployment rate is better when millions of people are allegedly leaving the labor force in droves? That's fine - however, there is nothing Christina Romer's replacement can say to put lipstick on the below piggly chart. The ever critical ratio of civilian employment to population is now at 58.4%... It was last this low (to the upside) in October of 1983. At least in one way Obama has caught up to the Reagan administration. 1983 followed the Greenie Commodities Act of 1982 which has now brought us to $1.5 Quadrillion in Derivative CDO horse race tickets (race over) bets. Today(with NONE of the problems from 1970 til now solved, just covered like the Macondo) we have this: a) Russian Crop Fail b)Russia Peak Oil Domestic And we've now done the Great Grain Robbery with China and Soy. We have zero. A repeat of last year's Sep to Nov Floods will trigger worldwide pogroms. And of course exacerbate the ongoing depression. buckle up. This isn’t a functional market, where buyers and sellers are efficiently determining prices by their activities. This is machines juggling chainsaws.
Overall Jim, a very lucid post. Congrats!
Hey! Just wait til you can figure out the rest of 'em. Then it'll be on to Post Grad for you! Life is like a box of chocolates,.... 8D " Utah is seriously considering eliminating the 12th grade, or making it optional. And it was announced this week that "Camden [New Jersey] is preparing to permanently shut its library system by the end of the year, potentially leaving residents of the impoverished city among the few in the United States unable to borrow a library book free." Does anyone doubt that once a society ceases to be able to afford schools, public transit, paved roads, libraries and street lights -- or once it chooses not to be able to afford those things in pursuit of imperial priorities and the maintenance of a vast Surveillance and National Security State -- that a very serious problem has arisen, that things have gone seriously awry, that imperial collapse, by definition, is an imminent inevitability?"
Does anyone doubt that once a society ceases to be able to afford schools, public transit, paved roads, libraries and street lights -- or once it chooses not to be able to afford those things in pursuit of imperial priorities and the maintenance of a vast Surveillance and National Security State -- that a very serious problem has arisen, that things have gone seriously awry, that imperial collapse, by definition, is an imminent inevitability?" Utah is correct to do so. 12th grade is, for most students, a waste of time. The sooner these students are out working and paying taxes and creating wealth the better off society will be.
Utah is correct to do so. 12th grade is, for most students, a waste of time. Then the Entire US Ed System is a waste of time. Beneficial Only to Empire which is collapsing as we type. "The sooner these students are out working and paying taxes and creating wealth the better off society will be." "The sooner these slaves are out working and paying taxes and creating wealth the better off society will be." There. Fixed it. ;}
#26. To: All (#25)
Beneficial Only to Empire which is collapsing as we type. And where do our doctors come from again? And why were they on the other side of the world? Two American and six German doctors have been killed in northern Afghanistan, police said. The bodies of the foreign physicians, along with that of an Afghan man, were found in Badakhshan Province, AFP reported. "The bodies were found in the forest in the Kuran wa Minjan district," said the province's police chief, Aqa Noor Kintoz, on Saturday . He added that based on the testimony of a sole Afghan survivor, the group came under attack by armed men in a densely forested part of the province. A spokeswoman for the US embassy in Afghanistan also confirmed that "several" American citizens were believed to be among the dead without giving further details. "We are actively working with local authorities and others to learn more about the identities and nationalities of these individuals," the spokeswoman said.
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#3. To: no gnu taxes (#2)
#6. To: war (#3)
I'm not sure we're out of your hero's Depression yet. The stim may have given off a false positive.
#7. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#6)
(Edited)
Obama PROMISED us his "Stimulus" would bring back better days. It didn't.
I'm sorry, but Obama PROMISED that he could do a hell of a lot better than Bush.
#8. To: war, Nebuchadnezzar, All (#7)
Obama PROMISED us his "Stimulus" would bring back better days. It didn't.
#9. To: mcgowanjm (#8)
This isn’t a functional market, where buyers and sellers are efficiently determining prices by their activities. This is machines juggling chainsaws.
#19. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#9)
Overall Jim, a very lucid post. Congrats!
#23. To: mcgowanjm (#19)
" Utah is seriously considering eliminating the 12th grade, or making it optional. And it was announced this week that "Camden [New Jersey] is preparing to permanently shut its library system by the end of the year, potentially leaving residents of the impoverished city among the few in the United States unable to borrow a library book free."
#25. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#23)
Replies to Comment # 25. Then the Entire US Ed System is a waste of time.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 25.
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