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Business
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Title: Oil Prices Top $81 A Barrel On Manufacturing Data, Stock Market Rallies
Source: ASSOCIATED PRESS
URL Source: http://www.canadianbusiness.com/mar ... /article.jsp?content=D9HBEFT00
Published: Aug 2, 2010
Author: Sandy Shore
Post Date: 2010-08-02 12:18:19 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 1997
Comments: 4

(AP) - Oil prices topped $81 a barrel Monday on positive economic news and rallying stock markets. The increase could translate into higher pump prices in the weeks ahead.

The national average for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline was $2.735 Monday, according to AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service. It's about 0.8 cent less than it was a month ago and about 19.7 cents more than a year ago.

Benchmark crude for September delivery rose about 3 percent in after positive reports on manufacturing in both the U.S. and Europe. A report in the U.S. concluded the manufacturing sector grew in July for the 15th straight month.

The reports indicated the global economy is continuing to recover, which gave oil traders more encouragement that consumers would begin to spend more money, analysts said.

If oil prices remain above $80 a barrel, that could mean higher prices at the pump unless demand falls away with the end of the summer, said Rich Ilczyszyn, a senior market analyst for Lind-Waldock. Summer typically brings the heaviest demand for gasoline as vacation travelers join commuters on the roads.

Another factor that could affect pump prices is the threat of a hurricane shutting in production in the Gulf of Mexico. The most active period of the season runs from Aug. 15 to Sept. 15.

"Every hurricane or possible hurricane will send the prices up a few pennies and then dip back down assuming nothing major happens," said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research.

In the U.S., the Institute for Supply Management said Monday its manufacturing index slipped to 55.5 in July from 56.2 in June but a reading above 50 indicates growth. Measures of production and new orders grew more slowly but more manufacturers said they planned to add employees.

In addition, a manufacturing report for the 16 countries that use the euro was revised higher for July and showed that the continent's economy continues to recover faster than expected.

Stock markets rallied on the news. Oil traders have been monitoring the markets for hints about consumer confidence. The Dow Jones industrial average rose almost 2 percent.

Another factor that helped oil and other energy prices was a weaker dollar. Since commodities are priced in dollars, a weaker dollar makes them more attractive to overseas buyers.

Benchmark crude for September delivery rose $2.53, or 3.2 percent, to $81.48 a barrel in early trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

(AP) - Oil prices topped $81 a barrel Monday on positive economic news and rallying stock markets. The increase could translate into higher pump prices in the weeks ahead.

Which will then crush what's left of the economy back into the ground.

$2.95 seems to be the cut off point.

$30 the bbl by Xmas.

The $ must remain strong at ALL costs. No strong $. No Trillionaires.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2010-08-02   12:35:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: mcgowanjm (#1)

Which will then crush what's left of the economy back into the ground.

$2.95 seems to be the cut off point.

$30 the bbl by Xmas.

The $ must remain strong at ALL costs. No strong $. No Trillionaires.

Agreed. One of the reasons we'll never see a sustained 5%+ for two months in a row is the negative feedback loop from oil.

Being a Democratic shill means you check your humanity at the door.

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-08-02   17:34:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: All (#2)

we'll never see a sustained 5%+ for two months

Obviously, I meant quarters.

Being a Democratic shill means you check your humanity at the door.

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-08-02   19:01:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#2)

Agreed. One of the reasons we'll never see a sustained 5%+ for two months in a row is the negative feedback loop from oil.

It's a positive feedback loop if you're the precipitation. And the rain gets heavier with every cycle. ;}

For that matter, why would you even SWAP your gold in this scenario? Unless, perhaps, you were desperate for dollars and you were swapping your gold with someone you knew for a fact would hold it safe for you and do nothing else with it. Like a "rich uncle" perhaps?

The point to take home here is that the spikes in these charts DO represent potentially imminent collapse of the dollar, but they are not the cause of the potential collapse, they are the system's response to it. In a way, these charts are to a collapse like a thermometer is to the temperature. Or like a body's immune response is to a bug.

They don't show the actual backwardation, they show the "immune system" response to it.

http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2010/07/red-alert-gold-backwardation.html

mcgowanjm  posted on  2010-08-02   20:23:35 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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