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Title: Obama's Economic Policies Continue to Sink Consumer Confidence
Source: cnn
URL Source: http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/27/news/economy/consumer_confidence/
Published: Jul 27, 2010
Author: Blake Ellis
Post Date: 2010-07-27 12:03:47 by no gnu taxes
Keywords: None
Views: 5371
Comments: 12

Uncertainty about the economy continued to shake consumer confidence in July, pushing a key measure of morale to the lowest level since February.

The Conference Board, a New York-based research group, said Tuesday that its Consumer Confidence Index dropped for a second straight month, to 50.4 in July from June's upwardly revised level of 54.3.

July's reading was lower than expected. Economists had forecast the index to have ticked down to 51 in July from 52.9 in June, according to a consensus estimate from Briefing.com.

"Consumer confidence faded further in July as consumers continue to grow increasingly more pessimistic about the short-term outlook," Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center, said in a statement. "Concerns about business conditions and the labor market are casting a dark cloud over consumers that is not likely to lift until the job market improves."

Before the sharp drop in June, the consumer confidence index had risen for three straight months. And while the latest reading of 50.4 is much higher than the record low of 25.3 hit in February 2009, it is still significantly below 90, a level that typically indicates a stable economy.

The decline in consumer confidence in July was driven by lower expectations about short-term economic improvement and more pessimism about the present state of the economy.

The index's expectations component slipped to 66.6 in July from 72.7 in June, while the present situation component, which tracks consumers' expectations over the next few months, fell to 26.1 from 26.8.

Consumers were also increasingly gloomy about job prospects this month, with 14.3% of consumers anticipating more jobs in the coming months, down from 16.2% in June.

They had reason to worry, since the government's closely-watched jobs report for June showed that the U.S. economy lost jobs for the first time this year.

July's report is expected to show a loss of 116,000 jobs, following the decline of 125,000 in June.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

#2. To: no gnu taxes (#0)

Consumers were also increasingly gloomy about job prospects this month, with 14.3% of consumers anticipating more jobs in the coming months, down from 16.2% in June.

The jobless recovery of the early 90s was repeated in first years of Bush II's administration, so why would you expect it to be different this time?

The recovery from the 1991 recession, however, featured an employment outlook that actually worsened as GDP grew: it was not until more than four years after the official end of the recession that there were more Americans employed than before the recession began. The recovery after the 2001 recession was similarly jobless. Unemployment did not peak until the recession had officially ended, and remained high even into 2004.

spectator.org/archives/20...-recovery-and-its-s/print

lucysmom  posted on  2010-07-27   14:27:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: lucysmom (#2)

Unemployment never exceeded 7% during the entire Bush Presidency.

no gnu taxes  posted on  2010-07-27   14:31:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 3.

#4. To: no gnu taxes (#3)

And during the last expansion consumer confidence averaged a fat 98.

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-07-27 15:24:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

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