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Business Title: Jobless Claims drop 29K. Inflation Non existent By Shobhana Chandra and Timothy R. Homan July 15 (Bloomberg) -- Fewer Americans than projected filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, reflecting a smaller number of factory closings for this time of year. Initial jobless claims dropped by 29,000 to 429,000 in the week ended July 10, the fewest since August 2008, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The government anticipates an increase in temporary factory layoffs in early July that did not occur this year, leading to the decrease in applications, a Labor Department spokesman said. “The key story here is the extreme uncertainty over the near-term path of claims as a result of the annual retooling shutdowns, which throw the seasonal adjustments into chaos,” Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics LLC in Valhalla, New York, said before the report. Shepherdson projected claims would drop to 420,000. It may take another week or two before the claims figures reflect the true underlying trend, said the Labor Department spokesman. Other employment data signal the job market will take time to pick up, restraining consumer spending, the biggest part of the economy. “Unemployment will come down very slowly,” Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York, said before the report. It indicates “slower growth than most people had hoped for.” Wholesale prices in the U.S. dropped in June more than forecast, pulled down by lower energy and food costs, a sign that the economy is recovering without inflation, another report from the Labor Department showed today. Prices Fall The 0.5 percent decline in prices paid to factories, farmers and other producers followed a 0.3 percent drop in May. Excluding food and fuel, so-called core prices climbed 0.1 percent, matching the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Applications were projected to drop to 445,000, according to the median forecast of 41 economists surveyed. Estimates ranged from 395,000 to 470,000. The Labor Department revised the prior week’s figure up to 458,000 from 454,000. The four-week moving average, a less volatile measure than the weekly figures, fell to 455,250 last week from 467,000, today’s report showed. The number of people continuing to receive jobless benefits jumped by 247,000 in the week ended July 3 to 4.68 million. The continuing claims figure does not include the number of Americans receiving extended benefits under federal programs. Losing Benefits Those who’ve used up their traditional benefits and are now collecting emergency and extended payments decreased by about 255,000 to 4.32 million in the week ended June 26, after Congress failed to pass legislation extending the assistance. The Labor Department estimates about 3.3 million people will fall off extended-benefit rolls by the end of July if Congress doesn’t pass emergency legislation. The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits, which tends to track the jobless rate, rose to 3.7 percent in the week ended July 3, from 3.5 percent in the prior week. Twenty-claims, while 30 reported an increase. These data are reported with a one-week lag. Initial jobless claims reflect weekly firings and tend to fall as job growth -- measured by the monthly non-farm payrolls report -- accelerates. That relationship has broken down in recent months as some companies continue to cut staff, while others expand, pointing to an uneven recovery. Auto Retooling The timing of the traditional summer auto-plant shutdowns to retool equipment for new models is playing a role in the drop in claims. General Motors Co. said June 17 most of its U.S. plants will remain open during the traditional shutdowns, a move that economists said could lower claims because some temporarily suspended workers usually applied for benefits. The Labor Department spokesman said the decrease in factory shutdowns this time of year widespread, signaling it was not just auto plants. Federal Reserve policy makers, who trimmed 2010 growth forecasts, were concerned about lingering high unemployment andthree states and territories reported a decline in the low pace of hiring, minutes of their June meeting showed yesterday. “The economic outlook had softened somewhat,” according to minutes of the Fed’s meeting, at which policy makers restated a pledge to keep interest rates near zero for an extended period. “Participants expected the pace of hiring to remain low for some time,” as “employers were still cautious.” Lost Jobs The economy lost more than 8 million jobs during the recession that began in December 2007, the biggest employment slump in the post-World War II era. The unemployment rate, which reached a 26-year high of 10.1 percent in October 2009, will average 9.6 percent this year, according to a Bloomberg survey taken July 1 to July 8. A lack of jobs and a loss of wealth is limiting consumer spending. A Commerce Department report yesterday showed retail sales fell more than projected in June, the second consecutive decline. Whitehouse Station, New Jersey-based Merck & Co. is among companies paring staff. The drugmaker last week said it’ll shut eight research labs and eight manufacturing plants to cut 15,000 jobs globally as part of a previously announced plan. The move follows Merck’s acquisition of Schering-Plough Corp. last year.
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Those who’ve used up their traditional benefits and are now collecting emergency and extended payments decreased by about 255,000 to 4.32 million in the week ended June 26, after Congress failed to pass legislation extending the assistance. The Labor Department estimates about 3.3 million people will fall off extended-benefit rolls by the end of July if Congress doesn’t pass emergency legislation. The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits, which tends to track the jobless rate, rose to 3.7 percent in the week ended July 3, from 3.5 percent in the prior week. Applications were projected to drop to 445,000, according to the median forecast of 41 economists surveyed. Estimates ranged from 395,000 to 470,000. The Labor Department revised the prior week’s figure up to 458,000 from 454,000. Initial jobless claims dropped by 29,000 to 429,000 in the week ended July 10, the fewest since August 2008, ... Like the amount of oil gushing into the Gulf of Cheney drops to 95 000 from 100 K bbls per day. The Damage is still being done and increasing in total. The Only way the EUC is dropping is bennies are running out. America's Fabric is being ripped apart as our leaders succumb to their own AgitProp. TV and Corporations Cannot deliver Bad News. So Americans will only think that they're the cause of the Top 50 000's Idiocy of Violence. The End will now be Catastrophic. # # BP Spill Reminder #11 - Day 87 - It Was a $2.2 Trillion Economy ... Jul 15, 2010... Businessinsider has compiled key figures about the economy in the ... be able to contribute to the Gulf states $2.2 Trillion economy. ... prudentinvestor.blogspot.com/.../bp-spill-reminder-11-day-87-it-was-22.html - 14 hours ago
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