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Title: Teams believing in 'convenient truths' as camps approach
Source: NFL.com
URL Source: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/09000 ... nient-truths-as-camps-approach
Published: Jul 12, 2010
Author: Michael Lombardi
Post Date: 2010-07-12 10:59:47 by Badeye
Keywords: None
Views: 1579
Comments: 2

Teams believing in 'convenient truths' as camps approach

By Michael Lombardi NFL.com

Published: July 11, 2010 at 12:49 p.m. Updated: July 11, 2010 at 05:39 p.m. Teams believing in 'convenient truths' as camps approach Raiders sign former Jaguars DT Henderson to one-year deal More Columns >

Unlock HQ Video HQ video delivered by Akamai

I'm excited, I mean really excited to be debuting here on NFL.com and with a writing schedule that almost duplicates Jimmy Buffett's 1999 CD Buffet live: Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays.

My schedule will be in the same spirit, only working Sunday instead of Saturday -- which is natural since this is an NFL column. And much like a Buffett concert, I hope everyone enjoys the show and keeps coming back for more.

This week's sermon

July normally is supposed to be the quiet time around the league, but so far it's been very active. From players complaining about their contracts or tender offers, guys getting hurt, veterans deciding whether to suit up to another hosting (stupidly -- more on that later) a birthday party, there has been plenty to discuss.

Most improved teams for 2010 The 'Skins have improved as much as any NFC team thanks to the hiring of Mike Shanahan and trading for Donovan McNabb, writes Vic Carucci.. Who else makes the list? More ... Still, the real theme of the offseason has been "we have improved." Each team is certain of the moves they've made, certain that the squad will come together and play as one. As someone once told me, every team is certain it'll hoist the Lombardi Trophy next February -- and it's these false beliefs that make the league so strong, so special.

Former Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens owner Art Modell once told me when working for him, "Kid, we sell hope, so let's give them something to hope for."

When I was working in the league, each day in July I was constantly thinking about the current roster and how it matches up to our division rivals and the other teams we had to face. Being honest in those evaluations was critical. Too many people in the NFL conveniently believe their team is built to go the distance.

It's what Bill Walsh once told me about the "convenient truths." For example, a general manager might call a team that from his vantage point needs help at running back and offers to make a trade. However, the team on the other end of the line refuses to even admit they're short in the backfield -- they conveniently believe they're fine.

Some current examples ...

» Do the Cowboys really believe David Buehler can make a pressure kick in December?

» Do the Giants really believe safety Kenny Phillips can return to his old form coming off knee surgery?

» Do the Cardinals really believe offensive tackle Brandon Keith can protect Matt Leinart's blindside?

» Do the Bengals really believe quarterback Carson Palmer can be a Pro Bowl passer again?

» Do the Jets really believe they can win the AFC East with all the talk about player contracts in their locker room?

Unlock HQ Video HQ video delivered by Akamai » Do the Chargers really believe former first-round pick Craig Davis can be a productive receiver?

» Do the Patriots really believe running back Laurence Maroney can have a breakout season?

» Do the Ravens really believe they have the corners to cover?

» Do the Redskins really believe all "throwback running backs" can be productive?

» Do the Dolphins really believe Tyrone Culver or Reshad Jones will be the answer at free safety?

» Do the Packers really believe they have enough depth at running back to go along with Ryan Grant?

When a team places faith in a player to be the answer and sets its offseason around that confidence, it must be correct. A wrong answer can dramatically alter a season.

Therefore, if you're rooting for any of the teams above, then "hope" that your squad is correct with its convenient truths.

Coryell's legacy ...

"We've lost a man who has contributed to the game of pro football in a very lasting way, with his innovations and with his style. They say that imitation is the highest form of flattery -- look around, it's there." Pro Football Hall of Fame quarterback Dan Fouts said in a statement when Don Coryell passed away.

More on Coryell Don Coryell was a true football pioneer and it shouldn't go unnoticed he started a coaching tree as deep and varied as any ever founded, writes Brian Baldinger. More ...

Last season, only the New York Jets, Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and Cleveland Browns ran the ball more in the first half than threw passes. So much for that old myth of teams having to establish the run.

Coryell, the former St Louis Cardinals and San Diego Chargers coach never bought into the myth. He was an NFL head coach for 14 years, with a 57 percent winning percentage. But more than wins and losses, Coryell influenced the game. He helped change it from a running game to the passing league we know today.

Coryell understood the value of making big plays with the pass, but he also understood that throwing the ball wouldn't make his team soft physically. The Chargers were an explosive team. "The greatest show on grass" long before Kurt Warner and Co. made the turf version famous in St Louis.

Coryell's teams in San Diego finished in the top five in scoring five of his nine years there, and first on three occasions. The man knew how to put the ball in the end zone and he also influenced other coaches, most notably Joe Gibbs, which led Tony Dungy to tell SI.com this:

"If you talk about impact on the game, training other coaches -- John Madden, Bill Walsh, Joe Gibbs to name a few -- and influencing how things are done, Don Coryell is probably right up there with Paul Brown. He was a genius."

Wins and losses should not be the only determination of a coach's ability to be enshrined in Canton. Influence, creativity and advancing this great game are also virtues that must be recognized by the Hall of Fame voters. Coryell was ahead of his time. Although he fell short of winning a Super Bowl, his influence, imagination and inspiration were a part of many titles. Just ask Gibbs.

Things I hear ...

» The next player to complain about his contract will be Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson, who missed the mandatory minicamp due to a scheduling conflict.

» Former BYU running back Harvey Unga is a popular player right now among teams. Unga has entered the supplemental draft, which is on July 15. About 20 teams watched his workout and I hear Unga could go in the third round, with the St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins having serious interest.

Things I think...

» The sooner Eagles quarterback Michael Vick realizes he has very few real friends, the better chance he has to avoid all trouble. Having a party was a dumb idea, inviting strangers was even dumber.

» The Dolphins are going to have a great year. Each time I review tape, I marvel at their execution. With a few more offensive playmakers, they will be tough to beat.

» We will start to see some first-round picks sign this week, especially those in the bottom of the round as teams figure out how to handle the option bonus.

Things I know ...

Unlock HQ Video HQ video delivered by Akamai » According to people close to Darrelle Revis, the differences with the Jets aren't personal but strictly business. (How can I write my first NFL.com column without mentioning a Godfather line?) The issue is the guaranteed money and signing bonus. The Jets say they're willing to make a long-term commitment to Revis, but have yet to offer a serious signing bonus.

» Bears general manager Jerry Angelo and director of player personnel Tim Ruskell spent time in Chicago meeting with Unga recently and appear very interested in drafting the running back.

» The Eagles are very excited about how quarterback Kevin Kolb played this offseason, handling the team and running the offense.

» The Colts and Peyton Manning have not even begun talks on a new contract. This might happen soon, but as of now, there has been no dialogue.

» In any contract when a team guarantees future money in the form of skill (performance) and injury, they're required by league rules to fund the amount in an NFL escrow account at that time. Most teams with cash flow problems dance around this issue by using dated bonuses and only designate either a skill or injury guarantee -- but never both. That way a team can name a date in the future and keep the money on hand as opposed to putting it in an account. Remember, like most businesses, most NFL teams rely on cash flow.

That's why there's some confusion over the amount of the actual guarantee in D'Brickashaw Ferguson's new deal. The Jets want to give the money to Ferguson, but they cannot in the form of a large signing bonus -- which would hurt their cash flow -- so they use this creative measure.

» The Ferguson deal won't impact the contract talks of fellow Jet center Nick Mangold or Patriots guard Logan Mankins. Left tackles are a premium and are paid at a premium level, but their deals don't impact guards or centers.

» Commissioner Roger Goodell will act accordingly in handling Lions president Tom Lewand's violation of the personal conduct policy. Lewand has accepted full responsibility for his actions and knows every player is watching to see what the commissioner will do.

Film room

I always review how many rushing attempts and pass completions a team amassed after each game. To me, this statistic is symbolic of a team's ability to execute in each aspect of its offense. Here are last year's top performers:

2009 rushes and completions Rank Team Games Rushes Completions Total Total/game 1 Patriots 16 466 390 856 53.5 2 Saints 16 468 378 846 52.9 3 Vikings 16 467 377 844 52.8 4 Dolphins 16 509 331 840 52.5 5 Texans 16 425 399 824 51.5 6 Jets 16 607 210 817 51.1 7 Packers 16 438 357 795 49.7 8 Bengals 16 505 286 791 49.4 9t Ravens 16 468 321 789 49.3 9t Panthers 16 525 264 789 49.3 11t Falcons 16 451 332 783 48.9 11t Cowboys 16 436 347 783 48.9 13t Broncos 16 440 341 781 48.8 13t Giants 16 443 338 781 48.8 15 Steelers 16 428 351 779 48.7 16 Titans 16 499 271 770 48.1 17 Colts 16 366 402 768 48.0 18 Seahawks 16 395 372 767 47.9 19 Chargers 16 427 338 765 47.8 20 Jaguars 16 447 315 762 47.6 21 Cardinals 16 365 392 757 47.3 22 Chiefs 16 438 296 734 45.9 23 Redskins 16 391 340 731 45.7 24 Lions 16 409 316 725 45.3 25 Rams 16 411 312 723 45.3 26 Eagles 16 384 335 719 44.9 27 Browns 16 498 219 717 44.8 28 Bears 16 373 340 713 44.6 29t 49ers 16 371 312 683 42.7 29t Buccaneers 16 403 280 683 42.7 31 Bills 16 424 256 680 42.5 32 Raiders 16 410 255 665 41.6 Totals: 512 14,087 10,373 24,460 47.8 Average: 16 440 324 764 47.8 Playoff teams: 192 5,397 4,133 9,530 49.6

What's interesting about this statistic is that eight of the top 12 went to the playoffs last season. From another perspective, it indicates which teams can operate their offense effectively. There are exceptions. The Eagles are toward the bottom, but are a great quick-strike offense (scores on drives of less than four plays), which is why they led the league in that statistic.

Therefore, this season when reviewing the statistics after each game, do as many in the NFL do and add these two numbers together and see which team wins.

2010 NFL.com fantasy football games » Create a customizable league » Join a custom private league » Join an NFL-managed league » Join a 10-team mock draft

Dominate your fantasy football draft! » NFL.com's in-depth draft kit » 2010 fantasy player rankings » Complete profiles/projections » NFL.com Fantasy home page

Fantasy ... I love it

I don't want to step on our own Michael Fabiano's toes, but I love fantasy football as well and always feel like there are a few sleepers who deserve to get mentioned. One of my sleepers this season is Patriots third-round pick Taylor Price. The receiver is quick, smart, can catch the ball very well and will be the dependable route runner Tom Brady didn't have last year.

Extra points ...

» Congratulations to Broncos public relations man Patrick Smyth on his wedding Saturday.

» The Seahawks' Pete Carroll is the latest coach to write a book. It is called "Win Forever: Live, Work, and Play Like a Champion" will be released Tuesday.

» Will Brett Favre one-up LeBron James with an announcement at the ESPY's on Wednesday? Much like the lack of suspense around James' announcement, does anyone think Favre won't be playing in Minnesota next year?

» If I were a coach, I might spend the rest of my summer vacation reading Daniel H. Pink's new book "Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us." It might help him relate to players during the season.

» I really believe that quarterback Jason Campbell will make the Raiders a better team. However, I wonder why in Washington he was viewed as the problem, and now in Oakland he is the solution.

» Follow me on Twitter at @michaelombardi and I'll be back on Tuesday

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#1. To: Badeye, A K A Stone (#0)

I just tried to post this article, I missed yours and the SW caught my double posting error.

Great stuff, the best part is the table which can't be cut and pasted, use the link. About 3 weeks until the training camps really start, the early guys can report at the end of July.

reaganisright  posted on  2010-07-12   22:21:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: reaganisright (#1)

I can't wait.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-07-13   9:01:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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