I've been hearing a lot of worried talk about Harry Reid and his zillion dollar war chest that he can use to bury Sharron Angle before November. To Nevadans, this isn't news. Harry Reid has been running TV commercials constantly going on two years already. Every commercial break there's Harry Reid and his scrotum face claiming to save jobs, wild horses, the environment, Medicare, and so on. Every Nevadan knows him and his sight pollution commercials on their tee-vees. You flip to any station with local commercial sponsorship and chances are there's a Harry Reid ad running: Harry in a duck blind shooting an elk, Harry up in antelope country shooting at a duck, Harry next to a solar panel out in the desert pointing his finger as if making a point, Harry hugging some cafeteria lady from Las Vegas, Harry preaching to an assembly of guys in construction helmets, Harry next to a black woman flown in just for the occasion, Harry wearing an indian chief headdress, Harry jogging with teenage girls around a high school athletic track. HARRY REID: INDEPENDENT, JUST LIKE NEVADANS. Jobs, jobs, jobs, jibbity jobs, double-banana jib-job jobbity jobs.
Even with all of this, he's barely into 40% against any opponent running against him, including a little boy, a dog, or a rollerskating chimpanzee.
Harry Reid has already got all the votes he's ever going to get in this race. There is absolutely nobody in this state thinking 'Gosh, I better get out and go vote for Harry Reid!' that isn't already going to do so anyway by default. There's nobody new left to pay with graft money for their vote.
Our state has >15% unemployment, a gutshot housing market, zero growth, and Harry says that everything is just great! Nevadans of all stripes think that Harry Reid is a monumental ass. Even the indians.
The numbers will of course move some more and I'm sure that everyone will get all wrapped up and worrisome over it, but I think you're already seeing a preview of election night in Nevada.