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Title: Ted Cruz Wins Wisconsin Republican Primary
Source: KFSM-TV
URL Source: http://5newsonline.com/2016/04/05/t ... -wisconsin-republican-primary/
Published: Apr 5, 2016
Author: [none]
Post Date: 2016-04-05 22:00:54 by ConservingFreedom
Keywords: None
Views: 13026
Comments: 99

(CBS NEWS) — According to the CBS News Wisconsin Republican primary exit poll:

Cruz is running well across many groups of Wisconsin primary voters. He is beating Trump among men and women by about 10 percent, and he is ahead of Trump in all age groups.

Trump did less well in Wisconsin among groups of voters who have been his core supporters in previous primaries.

Cruz is winning among those with college degrees and among those without. They are about even among those with no more than a high school degree.

Cruz does better among more affluent voters but still runs almost even with Trump among those with incomes under $50,000.

Cruz runs well among those who said they are “very conservative” as he has in previous primaries, but he also edges out Trump among those who said they are “somewhat conservative.” Trump has generally beat Cruz among those who say they are somewhat conservative. Trump does lead Cruz among political moderates.

As many as 34 percent of Republican primary voters say that bringing needed change is the candidate quality that most mattered in their vote decision; Cruz and Trump run neck and neck among these voters. This is better than Cruz has done in previous primaries. Cruz ran well ahead of Trump among voters who said that they want a candidate who shares their values and among those who wanted a candidate who can win in November.

Sixty-five percent of Republican primary voters said they were very worried about the direction of the nation’s economy, and Cruz beat Trump among these voters.

Seventy percent support a temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens entering the country, and Cruz and Trump are very close among this group.

Trump does beat Cruz among those who want to deport illegal immigrants who are not U.S. citizens, but only about one in three Republican primary voters support this position. Cruz topped Trump easily among the majority of primary voters who want to offer illegal immigrants a chance to apply for legal status.

Trump did very well among the half of Republican primary voters who want the next president to be from outside the political establishment, but he only got 7 percent of the vote of those who prefer the next president to have political experience.

The Republican exit poll asked voters, “If no one wins a majority of the delegates before the convention, should the party nominate the candidate with the most votes in the primaries or the candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee?”

More than half, 56 percent, said the party should nominate the candidate with the most votes. Another 42 percent said it should be the candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee. However, this varied widely between Trump and Cruz voters. As many as 83 percent of Trump voters said the nominee should be the candidate who won the most votes in the primaries. Among Cruz supporters, 56 percent said it should be the best nominee, and 42 percent said it should be the candidate with the most votes.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 67.

#11. To: ConservingFreedom, TooCpnservative, AKA Stone, vicomte13, All (#0)

Barring the strange and unusual, even for this campaign, I believe that Trump will get the nomination on the first ballot. Uncommitted delegates will put him over the top.

SOSO  posted on  2016-04-05   23:05:51 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: SOSO, nolu chan (#11)

Barring the strange and unusual, even for this campaign, I believe that Trump will get the nomination on the first ballot. Uncommitted delegates will put him over the top.

Cruz seems to have locked up 90%. I don't see how you can say that seriously.

Cruz is also locking up significant numbers of delegate slots with his supporters, people who are bound to vote for Trump on the first (or second) ballot but who will then flock to Cruz.

And Rubio is just waiting with his hoard of 172 delegates. Kasich has 54. And Bush and others have some to toss in too, for their final revenge against The Donald's sneers at them.

If Rubio and Kasich and Bush and others unbind their delegates and Cruz has hundreds of unbound delegates plus about 800 of his own delegates, Cruz could win on the first ballot against Trump, outright.

Tooconservative  posted on  2016-04-05   23:19:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: TooConservative, SOSO (#13)

Cruz seems to have locked up 90%.

90% of what?

Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from any possibility whatever of attaining a 1237 majority after the April 19th primary in New York. Cruz is running in third, has been there for a while, and is over 30 points behind Trump. Cruz can preach, but he can't sell his brand of snake oil in New York.

Cruz is likely to be shut out in the northeast.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-04-05   23:37:30 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: nolu chan, TooConservative (#14)

Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from any possibility whatever of attaining a 1237 majority after the April 19th primary in New York.

It will take a lot of opium smoking to see how Cruz has a realistic chance to get 1237 on the first ballot even with the uncommitted and unbound delegates. Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had. Trump's chances look good to get the 45 +/- out of these that he needs. But this has been a very strange campaign year.

Bottom line, IDM who gets the REP nomination as the REP Party is toast in 2016.

SOSO  posted on  2016-04-06   0:17:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: SOSO, TooConservative (#18)

Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had.

I do not think current polling will have any validity when it becomes mathematically impossible for Cruz to win a majority. Wisconsin appeared good for Kasich but he was shut out in every county.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-04-06   0:42:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: nolu chan (#22)

Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had.

I do not think current polling will have any validity when it becomes mathematically impossible for Cruz to win a majority. Wisconsin appeared good for Kasich but he was shut out in every county.

I certainly would not put any money on the predictive accuracy of the polling. Didn't one poll yesterday have Trump 10% up on Cruz in WI?

But again, IDM who the REPs wind up nominating they are toast in Nov.

SOSO  posted on  2016-04-06   1:00:51 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#62. To: SOSO (#23)

But again, IDM who the REPs wind up nominating they are toast in Nov.

In a vacuum, I would agree. However, the Dems need to win with somebody.

Can an avowed socialist win?

Can anyone assure that Hillary will survive and win after the FBI report is made?

The Dem party is almost as fractured as the Rep party. This is the wackiest election season I have ever seen.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-04-06   13:14:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#67. To: nolu chan (#62)

In a vacuum, I would agree. However, the Dems need to win with somebody.

Can an avowed socialist win?

Yes. I am not saying Bernie will win,but I am saying it is entirely possible.

Let's look at some facts.

1: The DNC has played at being socialist/communist ever since the 1930's,but in reality it was a promise of socialism/communism for the poor,not them. Other than King Franklin and his wife/cousin,they never meant it.

2: A large part,maybe even the majority by now,of the Dim base are true-believer socialists/communists that vote Dim because they lust after all the "free stuff" they think they can get without having to work for it.

3: Bubbette! may be the most unpopular Dim candidate with Dims in the history of the party. Her base is the whacked out whymen bunch,and the welfare blacks. Everybody else other than people who earn their living from the Dim Party pretty much hates and mistrusts her and are only going to vote on her because she has the "right" letter from the alphabet behind her name.

4:Along comes a actual lifelong socialist to run against her that is a true-believer in socialism,and who means every damnfool thing he says.

5: There are tens of millions of damnfool Dims registered to vote.

Yeah,it could happen,and truth to tell,America would be better off with Bernie in the WH than with Bubbette! BECAUSE he is sincere and the truth is none of the power people in the background want socialism. Bernie might get the nomination and he might even get the WH,but he is NOT going to get the behind the scenes cooperation that Bubbette! will get because he most likely won't be willing to play the game where the WH and the bill sponsors skim off most of the money.

In other words,about all Bernie can accomplish in the WH is to expose the fraud and hypocrisy that is what defines the Dim Party.

sneakypete  posted on  2016-04-06   13:40:39 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 67.

#69. To: sneakypete (#67)

I am not saying Bernie will win,but I am saying it is entirely possible.

I was only trying to say that Dems are not a lock and Reps are not certain toast in Nov.

Bernie could pick up Elizabeth Warren for VP and make a formidable far left liberal ticket. As do you, I believe Bernie is sincere even if I personally disagree with much of what he says.

If the Dems nominate Hillary, lots of Bernie supporters will stay home in November.

If the Reps nominate anyone but Trump or Cruz, they may generate not only a stay home movement, but a third party revolt.

In the meantime, the GOPe is effecting the destruction of Trump and Cruz as winning candidates in the general. The main mission of the GOPe is to stop Trump and Cruz. If they can insert a GOPe stooge, so much the better, but that is not essential.

At this point, it appears both parties will put up severely damaged candidates.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-04-06 14:06:54 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 67.

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