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Title: Pat Buchanan: Could Trump Actually WIN?
Source:
VDare
URL Source: http://www.vdare.com/articles/pat-buchanan-could-trump-actually-win
Published: Jul 28, 2015
Author: Pat Buchanan
Post Date: 2015-07-28 10:47:49 by nativist nationalist
Keywords: None
Views: 1706
Comments: 8
The American political class has failed the country, and should be fired. That is the clearest message from the summer surge of Bernie Sanders and the remarkable rise of Donald Trump. Sanders’ candidacy can trace it roots back to the 19th-century populist party of Mary Elizabeth Lease who declaimed: “Wall Street owns the country. It is no longer a government of the people, by the people, and for the people, but a government of Wall Street, by Wall Street, and for Wall Street. The great common people of this country are slaves, and monopoly is the master.” “Raise less corn and more hell!” Mary admonished the farmers of Kansas. William Jennings Bryan captured the Democratic nomination in 1896 by denouncing the gold standard beloved of the hard money men of his day: “You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns, you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold.” Sanders is in that tradition, if not in that league as an orator. His followers, largely white, $50,000-a-year folks with college degrees, call to mind more the followers of George McGovern than Jennings Bryan. Yet the stagnation of workers’ wages as the billionaire boys club admits new members, and the hemorrhaging of U.S. jobs under trade deals done for the Davos-Doha crowd, has created a blazing issue of economic inequality that propels the Sanders campaign. Between his issues and Trump’s there is overlap. Both denounce the trade deals that deindustrialized America and shipped millions of jobs off to Mexico, Asia and China. But Trump has connected to an even more powerful current. That is the issue of uncontrolled and illegal immigration, the sense America’s borders are undefended, that untold millions of lawbreakers are in our country, and more are coming. While most come to work, they are taking American jobs and consuming tax dollars, and too many come to rob, rape, murder and make a living selling drugs. Moreover, the politicians who have talked about this for decades are a pack of phonies who have done little to secure the border. Trump boasts that he will get the job done, as he gets done all other jobs he has undertaken. And his poll ratings are one measure of how far out of touch the Republican establishment is with the Republican heartland. When Trump ridicules his rivals as Lilliputians and mocks the celebrity media, the Republican base cheers and laughs with him. He is boastful, brash, defiant, unapologetic, loves campaigning, and is putting on a great show with his Trump planes and 100-foot-long stretch limos. “Every man a king but no man wears a crown,” said Huey Long. “I’m gonna make America great again,” says Donald. Compared to Trump, all the other candidates, including Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, are boring. He makes politics entertaining, fun. Trump also benefits from the perception that his rivals and the press want him out of the race and are desperately seizing upon any gaffe to drive him out. The piling on, the abandonment of Trump by the corporate elite, may have cost him a lot of money. But it also brought him support he would not otherwise have had. For no group of Americans has been called more names than the base of the GOP. The attacks that caused the establishment to wash its hands of Trump as an embarrassment brought the base to his defense. But can Trump win? If his poll numbers hold, Trump will be there six months from now when the Sweet 16 is cut to the Final Four, and he will likely be in the finals. For if Trump is running at 18 or 20 percent nationally then, among Republicans, it is hard to see how two rivals beat him. For Trump not to be in the hunt as the New Hampshire primary opens, his campaign will have to implode, as Gary Hart’s did in 1987, and Bill Clinton’s almost did in 1992. Thus, in the next six months, Trump will have to commit some truly egregious blunder that costs him his present following. Or the dirt divers of the media and “oppo research” arms of the other campaigns will have to come up with some high-yield IEDs. Presidential primaries are minefields for the incautious, and Trump is not a cautious man. And it is difficult to see how, in a two-man race against the favorite of the Republican establishment, he could win enough primaries, caucuses and delegates to capture 50 percent of the convention votes. For almost all of the candidates who will have dropped out by then will have endorsed the last man standing against Trump. And should Trump be nominated, his candidacy would make Barry Goldwater look like the great uniter of the GOP. Still, who expected Donald Trump to be in the catbird seat in the GOP nomination run before the first presidential debate? And even his TV antagonists cannot deny he has been great for ratings.
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#1. To: nativist nationalist (#0)
I do not claim to know the answer to that question. But one thing I am certain of, there are many that have had it with the Republican Party. The GOP has failed Marketing 101 - when you constantly ignore your customer base and expect them to buy a shit sandwich, you will go out of business. Si vis pacem, para bellum
Trump v. Bloomberg in the national elections. Whoever won would be COMPETENT at running something. And THAT would be a switch. Maybe they could even cut a deal after the election and one be the Veep of the other, utterly confounding the politicians and co-opting a significant portion of the other "company". Merger, anyone? (May as well: Jeb and Hillary are essentially clones, both in lack of care or appeal to the common class, and in crony capitalist cred. Maybe they should end the farce and run as a joint ticket: Jeb/Hillary, or Hillary/Jeb (depending on who wins the general. Their Motto: "Why Lie?" or maybe "All Your Base Are Belong To Us"
Very good observation. They seem to think they are entitled to market share, a business run that way is heading for insolvency. The GOP probably needs to be "going the way of the Whigs." They're doing a pretty good job of it on their own already, as can be seen from some electoral maps. The industrial states bordering the Great Lakes, in 1860 Lincoln carried all 8 states. In 2008 Obama carried all 8, reaping 141 electoral votes (would have been more had California not gained such a big piece of the pie due to immigration). GOP pissed those away with trade deals, plus immigration. Take away those 8 states and Obama would have had 221 electoral votes, and the GOP would have had 314. Today the GOP relies on the states that voted Democrat and Whig (in the form of the Constitution Union Party) in 1860. And its immigration policies plus trade deals will keep flipping more states to the Democrats, like North Carolina and Virginia.
Yep, that's exactly what the country needs, another lightweight comedian with zero political skills and an Emperor complex to entertain the U.S. back to greatness. потому что Бог хочет это тот путь
A quarter century of gaydubyapegler RINO policies has transformed America into a third world joke.
I rather thought that it was 50 years of secular progressive leftist K-12 indoctirnation of 2+ generations of We The People and the MSM allies. We The People get exactly what it wants. We The People are responsible for what has happened to this country, no-one else. потому что Бог хочет это тот путь
Ultimately that is correct. We are a nation of political idiots. But hey, how about them Steelers? Si vis pacem, para bellum
Ahhh the memories. LOL... http://libertysflame.com/cgi-bin/readart.cgi?ArtNum=36273&Disp=1 " can Trump win? "
#2. To: nativist nationalist (#0)
#3. To: Stoner (#1)
But one thing I am certain of, there are many that have had it with the Republican Party. The GOP has failed Marketing 101 - when you constantly ignore your customer base and expect them to buy a shit sandwich, you will go out of business.
This is the elector map from 1860, when the GOP first took the White House, with 18 states voting for Lincoln. 
In 2008 John McCain took 0 electoral votes from the 18 states won by Lincoln, zero, nada, zilch! How did they piss that away. Immigration, California is a good example, solid GOP state, between 1952 and 1988 it only went Democrat once, in 1964. The GOP worked hard to transform California into what it is today, pandering to the donor class and stabbing its voters in the back. Obama gained 55 electoral votes right there; now in a rational world California would have never reached 55 electoral votes, but it might be 30 to 40 electoral votes (with the other electoral votes ending up in other states) that a patriotic GOP would have earned.
#4. To: nativist nationalist, All (#0)
Compared to Trump, all the other candidates, including Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, are boring. He makes politics entertaining, fun.
#5. To: SOSO (#4)
Yep, that's exactly what the country needs, another lightweight comedian with zero political skills and an Emperor complex to entertain the U.S. back to greatness.
#6. To: nativist nationalist (#5)
A quarter century of gaydubyapegler RINO policies has transformed America into a third world joke.
#7. To: SOSO (#6)
" We The People are responsible for what has happened to this country, no-one else. "
#8. To: nativist nationalist, Liberator, redleghunter, meguro and his daddy yukon (#5)
gaydubyapegler
“Let me see which pig "DON'T" I want to vote for, the one with or without lipstick??" Hmmmmm...
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