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Title: Is the USA is in a recession because of high gas prices?
Source: clarionledger
URL Source: http://www.clarionledger.com/apps/p ... D=/20061102/BIZ/611020363/1005
Published: Nov 2, 2006
Author: USA Today
Post Date: 2006-11-02 15:56:01 by TLBSHOW
Keywords: None
Views: 19807
Comments: 71

Economy slowing; recession in 2007?

WASHINGTON — There is little doubt the economy is slowing. What is unclear is how long the decline will last or how deep it will be.

The latest evidence of a slowing economy came Wednesday in reports showing a dip in the rate of growth in the manufacturing sector and a further decline in housing construction.

Also on Wednesday, Merrill Lynch warned clients that its "recession-risk indicator" is now pointing to a 51 percent chance of a recession in the next year, the highest such odds since the last recession in 2001.

The indicator has only twice hit the 51 percent line without being followed by a recession, Merrill Lynch chief North American economist David Rosenberg said in a report titled, On a Knife's Edge.

The question of whether there will be a recession is "still a tough call," he says. But "what the indicator represents is, at a minimum, a significant slowing in growth."

Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors says there are still enough factors in the economy's favor to keep it afloat. In particular, job growth is still solid, and wages are rising while interest rates are low, historically speaking. But that doesn't mean the economy is poised for a big takeoff.

"I'm not concerned about a recession at all, but I do think that we could be looking at (subpar) growth ... this quarter and the first half of next year," he said.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 40.

#3. To: All (#0)

November 3, 2006

Fearing Slow Holiday Sales, Wal-Mart Cuts Prices

Expecting a grim November, Wal-Mart Stores said it would immediately slash prices on 100 popular electronics, abruptly rearranging the Christmas calendar for its customers and competitors

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/03/business/03cnd-walmart.html? ei=5065&en=4f4650f3b08e740e&ex=1163221200&partner=MYWAY&pagewanted=print

THE GAS PRICES ARE KILLING EVERYONE

TLBSHOW

TLBSHOW  posted on  2006-11-03   20:53:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: All (#3)

Foreclosures up sharply nationwide

http://www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/business/15898450.htm

TLBSHOW  posted on  2006-11-03   23:59:57 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: TLBSHOW (#4)

Check out the adjusted for inflation. Price of gas is relatively constant over time, taking inflation into account and with respect to all things we buy.

Biff Tannen  posted on  2006-11-04   9:49:53 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Biff Tannen (#5)

The three-month uninterrupted fall of retail gas prices came to a halt this week, according to AAA Texas' Weekend Gas Watch.

"Nationwide, prices have also started rising in many areas," AAA Texas spokeswoman Rose Rougeau says. "Oil industry analysts are saying that could be the result of OPEC's announcement last month that it is reducing crude oil production."

http://sanantonio.bizjournals.com/sanantonio/stories/2006/10/30/daily37.html

TLBSHOW  posted on  2006-11-04   11:42:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: TLBSHOW (#6)

So, a 'halt' is equal to an increase?

You are a fucking moron.

Biff Tannen  posted on  2006-11-04   14:36:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Biff Tannen (#8)

I just give truth before it becomes truth -

warning A recession looms over AMERICA

TLBSHOW  posted on  2006-11-04   15:18:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#36. To: All (#9)

#9. To: Biff Tannen (#8)

warning A recession looms over AMERICA

Now I have told you before it happens so that, when it happens, you may believe

TLBSHOW posted on 2006-11-04

Concerns about the banks were started by comments by former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan that a recession could occur in the US by the end of the year.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21298417- 20142,00.html February 28, 2007

TLBSHOW  posted on  2007-02-27   13:41:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: Biff Tannen (#36)

#9. To: Biff Tannen (#8)

warning A recession looms over AMERICA

Now I have told you before it happens so that, when it happens, you may believe

TLBSHOW posted on 2006-11-04

Concerns about the banks were started by comments by former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan that a recession could occur in the US by the end of the year.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21298417- 20142,00.html February 28, 2007

TLBSHOW  posted on  2007-02-27   13:42:06 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: TLBSHOW (#37)

Concerns about the banks were started by comments by former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan that a recession could occur in the US by the end of the year.

February 28, 2007

You do realize there is this thing called time, and when you prophesy (falsely) something as happening in 2006 and then it doesn't happen until 2007 you can't go back and say you were right.

And you're still not right anyway, you wanker.

Ya bloody tosser.

Biff Tannen  posted on  2007-02-27   19:39:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 40.

#41. To: Biff Tannen (#40)

warning A recession

looms

over AMERICA

loom1 (lkm) intr.v., loomed, loom·ing, looms

To seem imminent; impend: Revolution loomed but the aristocrats paid no heed.

TLBSHOW  posted on  2007-02-27 20:23:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#42. To: Biff Tannen (#40)

TLBSHOW  posted on  2007-02-27 20:25:39 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 40.

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