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Title: Herman Cain Rises, Rick Perry Slides In New CBS News Poll
Source: CBS NEWS
URL Source: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20115655-503544.html
Published: Oct 4, 2011
Author: CBS NEWS
Post Date: 2011-10-04 19:22:40 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 2617
Comments: 9

Herman Cain has moved into a tie with Mitt Romney atop the field of Republican presidential candidates, according to a new CBS News poll, while Rick Perry has fallen 11 percentage points in just two weeks.

(Credit: CBS)
The poll shows Cain, who stood at just five percent support two weeks ago, now holding 17 percent support among Republican primary voters. That puts the former Godfather's Pizza CEO into a tie with Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, whose support has essentially held steady over the past two weeks.

Perry, meanwhile, has dropped from 23 percent support to just 12 percent support over the past two weeks, a sign that the Texas governor's shaky debate performances - in which he has alienated portions of both the Republican base and the party establishment - have taken their toll.

Eight in ten Republican primary voters said the candidates' debate performances are at least somewhat important to them, and 58 percent said they have watched the debates that have already taken place. Just ten percent of Republican primary voters said they agreed with Perry that the children of illegal immigrants should be allowed to get in-state tuition, a contentious topic in recent debates.

The silver lining for Perry is the race remains fluid: Three in four Republican primary voters who chose a candidate also said it was too early to make up their minds completely. Just 19 percent said they had definitively decided who they would support.

Rounding out the field are Newt Gingrich with eight percent support, Ron Paul with seven percent, Michele Bachmann with four percent, Rick Santorum with three percent and Jon Huntsman with two percent. Eighteen percent said they were undecided or unsure.

At left, CBS News' Brian Montopoli discusses the new poll and the state of the Republican presidential race.

Cain's rise follows a flurry of positive media coverage for his upset victory over Perry in the Florida straw poll last month. The only African-American candidate in the GOP field, Cain has also been getting traction with GOP voters and conservative columnists with his 9-9-9 tax plan - a proposal to replace the current tax code with a nine percent flat income tax, a nine percent corporate tax and a nine percent national sales tax.

The CBS News poll shows Cain as the top choice among self-described conservatives, with 21 percent support. (Two weeks ago, he polled at just six percent with this group.) Romney polls in second among conservatives with 15 percent support, followed by Perry at 13 percent. Cain is also the top choice of Republican primary voters who support the Tea Party, polling at 24 percent to Romney's 17 percent, Gingrich's 13 percent and Perry's 12 percent.

Yet Cain's strong showing comes as he embarks on a book tour that will keep him busy for much of October - a scheduling decision that has some wondering how serious he is about his presidential campaign. Cain is not scheduled to return to the first-in-the-nation state of Iowa until the middle of November, and he has seen significant staff shakeup, most recently losing his respected communications director - a sign that his staff may not see him as mounting a serious challenge for the nomination.

The poll suggests that Romney may gain traction with the argument that he has the best chance to unseat President Obama next year: 32 percent of Republicans say Romney is the candidate most likely to defeat the president. Twenty-one percent cited Perry, while just eight percent chose Cain.

Romney also led the field on who exhibits the strongest leadership qualities, with 26 percent pointing to the former Massachusetts governor. Perry came in second with 23 percent, followed by Gingrich with 14 percent and Cain with nine percent.

Asked who most cares about people, Romney and Cain topped the field, with both cited by 16 percent of Republican primary voters. Four candidates - Romney, Cain, Bachmann and Perry - finished close to each other atop the list of which candidate most shares voters' values.

The poll is being released in the wake of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's announcement that he would not enter the race despite pressure from Republicans unhappy with the GOP field (the poll was conducted before his announcement). With the filing deadline for many GOP primaries coming at the end of October and primary voting expected to begin in early January, time is running out for new candidates to enter the race. 

In the poll, Republican primary voters were asked if they were satisfied with the current field. Forty-six percent said yes - and just as many said they want new choices.

It's not clear who that new choice might be. There is not a groundswell for the most prominent Republican still openly considering a run, 2008 vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin, to jump in: Three in four Republican primary voters said they would not like to see her enter the race. Just 23 percent said they wanted to see a Palin candidacy.

More from the poll:

Most support gays serving openly in military
Read the complete poll (PDF) (1 image)

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

You said you could vote for Romney. What about Cain?

A K A Stone  posted on  2011-10-04   22:04:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#2. To: A K A Stone (#1)

You said you could vote for Romney. What about Cain?

He hates Israel but would vote for somone who supports Israel.......

Whats wrong with that picture??????

"CHANGE" you can step in..... My dogs have created more shovel ready jobs than the self appointed Messiah!!!

CZ82  posted on  2011-10-05   6:42:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#3. To: A K A Stone (#1)

Cain's the only one on either side 'growing politically'.

Perry's done btw. His only hope is to do something he's never been able to do in a good career in poltics. Have spectacular back to back debates where he clearly beats everyone on the stage on every topic.

Given he's never done so ONCE according to his own supporters, himself and his wife....its the longest hail mary since Biden proclaimed the Democrats would maintain control of the House in mid October of last year.

Cain could easily end up with the GOP nomination. So could Romney, but his challenge is too convince Conservatives, and they aren't buying in. If you had to bet the farm today, Romney is the favorite, but only by a slim margin over Cain. JMHO

Proxy IP's are amusing.....lmao

Badeye  posted on  2011-10-05   7:14:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#4. To: Brian S (#0)

None of these polls mean anything because most GOP primary voters, let alone most Americas, are not paying a lot of attention right now.

The Iowa caucus is in January. Someone other than Romney will win that. The New Hampshire primary is a few days later, and Romney will win that. Someone other than Romney will win South Carolina. Then you move on to a couple of big states -- Michigan, that Romney will win handily, and Florida, which Romney could win narrowly.

If Romney wins Florida, he will have all of the momentum he needs to win the nomination and then the Presidency. If not, we might not know who the nominee is until the convention.

Anarchists are simply unterrified Jeffersonian Democrats -- Benjamin Tucker

jwpegler  posted on  2011-10-05   9:54:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#5. To: jwpegler (#4)

None of these polls mean anything because most GOP primary voters, let alone most Americas, are not paying a lot of attention right now.

But those who finance campaigns ARE paying attention, which is why Bachmann is running out of cash. The polls mean a heck of a lot right now.

Tagline for sale - inquire within

go65  posted on  2011-10-05   10:12:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#6. To: A K A Stone (#1) (Edited)

You said you could vote for Romney. What about Cain?

Fox News Interview with Chris Wallace, May 21, 2011:

CAIN: Right of return? Right of return?

WALLACE: The Palestinian right of return.

CAIN: That's something that should be negotiated.

When asked again about whether he believes in the Palestinian right of return, Cain seemed unclear about the Israeli position on the matter, as well as his own.

CAIN: Yes, but under – but not under – Palestinian conditions. Yes. They should have a right to come back if that is a decision that Israel wants to make…. I don't think they have a big problem with people returning.


Tagline for sale - inquire within

go65  posted on  2011-10-05   10:14:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#7. To: go65 (#6)


Cain already cleared THAT UP six weeks ago, Gooey.

You can't even be honest now.


Proxy IP's are amusing.....lmao

Badeye  posted on  2011-10-05   10:15:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#8. To: All (#0)

btw, Herman Cain was the ONLY candidate that attended the 'Restoring' rally in Israel last month hosted by Glen Beck.

You were once a challenge in these forums Gooey.

Now? Just a DNC talking point hack.

Proxy IP's are amusing.....lmao

Badeye  posted on  2011-10-05   10:27:18 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

#9. To: Badeye, go65 (#8)

Now? Just a DNC talking point hack.

Oh Irony!!! Thy Name Be Boofer..

You were once a challenge in these forums

That puts him one, possibly two, up on you Boofer...

America...My Kind Of Place...

"I truly am not that concerned about [bin Laden]..."
--GW Bush

--Sarah Palin's version of "The Midnight Ride of Paul revere"

I lurk to see if someone other than Myst or Pookie posts anything...

war  posted on  2011-10-05   11:27:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  

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