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The Water Cooler
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Title: Poll: GOP Takes Unprecedented Lead In House And Senate Races
Source: USA TODAY
URL Source: http://www.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/Index
Published: Aug 30, 2010
Author: USA TODAY
Post Date: 2010-08-30 19:10:09 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 22135
Comments: 40

Republicans lead Democrats 51% to 41% on a generic ballot heading into November's midterm election, the largest gap in favor of the GOP in Gallup's 68-year history of tracking the critical political benchmark.

The Republican lead has steadily increased from five percentage points earlier this month to the current 10 point spread, suggesting Republicans have the upper hand and momentum.

Previously, the largest GOP advantage measured by the poll, five points, was found in 2002 and 1994. Republicans made significant gains in the House both years.

"The last Gallup weekly generic ballot average before Labor Day underscores the fast-evolving conventional wisdom that the GOP is poised to make significant gains in this fall's midterm congressional elections," according to Gallup's website.

Republicans, meanwhile, are now twice as likely as Democrats to be "very" enthusiastic about voting, according to the poll. Half of Republican registered voters said they are "very" enthusiastic, compared with 28% of independents and 25% of Democrats.

The widest generic ballot lead in the poll's history was 32 points in Democrats' favor. That was measured in July 1974 before Republican President Richard Nixon resigned. In a generic ballot, pollsters ask whether voters are more likely to vote for a Republican or a Democrat for Congress. Subscribe to *Elections 2010*

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 27.

#27. To: Brian S (#0)

Also in Governors races and state legislatures. There are credible predictions now that the GOP will pick up more than 300 state legislative seats and 8 gubernatorial offices.

Remember, its redistricting time. This could shift 20 house districts to the GOP's favor for the next 10 years.

jwpegler  posted on  2010-09-02   10:46:38 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 27.

#30. To: jwpegler (#27)

Also in Governors races and state legislatures. There are credible predictions now that the GOP will pick up more than 300 state legislative seats and 8 gubernatorial offices.

THESE are the important ones because they are closer to the grass roots voter and can be influenced from the bottom up.

sneakypete  posted on  2010-09-02 13:14:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 27.

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