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Economy
See other Economy Articles

Title: July Existing-Home Sales Fall as Expected but Prices Rise (25.5% lower than July of 2009
Source: Calculated Risk
URL Source: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/
Published: Aug 24, 2010
Author: NA
Post Date: 2010-08-24 10:18:51 by Nebuchadnezzar
Keywords: None
Views: 8396
Comments: 14

The NAR reports: July Existing-Home Sales Fall as Expected but Prices Rise

Existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 27.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units in July from a downwardly revised 5.26 million in June, and are 25.5 percent below the 5.14 million-unit level in July 2009.

Sales are at the lowest level since the total existing-home sales series launched in 1999, and single family sales – accounting for the bulk of transactions – are at the lowest level since May of 1995. ... Total housing inventory at the end of July increased 2.5 percent to 3.98 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 12.5-month supply at the current sales pace, up from an 8.9-month supply in June.


Poster Comment: Horrible numbers. This came in far below expectations of the "experts."

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 2.

#2. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#0)

Poster Comment: Horrible numbers. This came in far below expectations of the "experts."

Once again, 48 out of 48 are wrong. Again and again. But no one ever loses his/her job.

How low can we fall in the fall?

David Rosenberg, citing Macroeconomic Advisers' U.S. real GDP series, says we're in for a -1.5% drop. He's supposed to be the doomer among "serious economists", yet he's still quite a ways away from the -5.25% that CMI data indicate. Not that a -1.5% plunge in US GDP wouldn't be sufficiently devastating all by itself, mind you.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2010-08-24   10:23:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 2.

#3. To: All (#2)

Bad economic news sent investors out of stocks and into U.S. Treasurys this past week, extending a rally that has defied some of Wall Street's best minds, and, some say, logic. Treasury bonds maturing in 20 years or more have returned 21 percent so far this year. By contrast, stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average have lost 2 percent. The question now: Is it too late to jump into the great government bond bonanza?

Again the Idiot Economists.

FOFOA and Fekete have been calling this for 4 years at least.

It's called Front Running the Bond Market. You buy the Bonds then sell them to the Fed/Treasury. Guaranteed profit/Never lose.

As ALL Bonds move to ZERO. See Nikkei drops below 9000 for how that's working for them.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2010-08-24 10:26:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: mcgowanjm (#2)

Once again, 48 out of 48 are wrong. Again and again. But no one ever loses his/her job.

Agreed. I saw Shedlock's story about how all the economists were predicting a small drop, not this plunge. Every single one of them missed this plunge.

Mish Shedlock has nailed this for over a year now.

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-08-24 10:37:01 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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